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SS · South Sudan · –

Raga fire, 21 December 2020 Raga

Out · last detection 1 Jan 2021, 23:30 UTC

The fire started on 21 December 2020 in Raga, South Sudan, and satellites saw it burning for 12 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 12,728 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 78th largest in Western Bahr el Ghazal since 2016 (of 338 with a page). Number 34 in South Sudan in 2020, of 190.

Compare with…
Burnt area
12,728ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
12days
21 Dec 2020 – 1 Jan 2021
Municipalities hit
1
counties
Started on
21 Dec
2020
Heat detections
318
in a single hotspot: 136 MW
Danger at start
53
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
386MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 21 Dec1 Jan
1 Jan 2021

How it evolved, day by day

21 Dec 2020 · 100 MW · 13 22 Dec 2020 · 7 MW · 1 23 Dec 2020 · 156 MW · 4 28 Dec 2020 · 13 MW · 3 29 Dec 2020 · 1,082 MW · 74 30 Dec 2020 · 238 MW · 68 31 Dec 2020 · 1,450 MW · 143 1 Jan 2021 · 44 MW · 12
21 Dec 23 Dec 29 Dec 31 Dec

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

36°high
37km/h · peak gust
13%lowest humidity

It had gone 47 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

95% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 12,617 ha in 2016, 2,502 ha in 2017, 4,826 ha in 2018, 4,780 ha in 2019. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 12,115 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 8% of the area of London (127 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Raga where it started
    12,761 ha reached on 21 Dec
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
21 Dec 34.9 °C 15 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
22 Dec 35.2 °C 18 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
23 Dec 35.7 °C 19 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
24 Dec 36.2 °C 17 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
25 Dec 36.1 °C 17 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
26 Dec 35.5 °C 16 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
27 Dec 35.6 °C 18 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
28 Dec 35.2 °C 18 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
29 Dec 35.8 °C 14 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
30 Dec 36.3 °C 16 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
31 Dec 36.3 °C 13 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
1 Jan 36.3 °C 13 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
2 Jan after 35.3 °C 16 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
3 Jan after 35.6 °C 16 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
4 Jan after 35.7 °C 15 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
5 Jan after 35.6 °C 14 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
6 Jan after 36.0 °C 14 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
7 Jan after 35.6 °C 13 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
8 Jan after 35.2 °C 12 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
9 Jan after 33.5 °C 15 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
10 Jan after 34.5 °C 10 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
11 Jan after 34.4 °C 10 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 52.7, a minimum humidity of 15% and 47 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 84.

FWI at the start 52.7
Minimum humidity 15 %
Days without rain 47
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Raga fire, December 2024
6,490 ha 18 days FWI 52.2 Min. humidity 15 % 55 km away, in 2024

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

14 days
median duration
7,260 ha
median area
24 %
went past 10,000 ha
1.1 mm
rain at the end (median; 2 of 84 had it)

It was 1.8 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 12 days, against 14 days.

Only 15 of its 84 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 82 of 84, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.1 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
37km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 1 Jan, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 2 of 84, with a median of 1.1 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 14 Dec 2020
After · 8 Jan 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 318Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in South Sudan

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Raga fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 21 December 2020 to 1 January 2021 (12 days). The perimeter dates it from 28 December 2020 to 1 January 2021.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 12,728 hectares (127.3 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Raga (12,761 ha, 0.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 36.3 °C, humidity dropped to 13 % and gusts hit 37 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 53, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of South Sudan (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 84. Their median duration was 14 days and their median area 7,260 ha; 24 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 15 of its 84 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 82 of 84, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.1 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Start date: 28 December 2020 → 21 December 2020.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 28 December 2020 to 1 January 2021. 318 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.