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Rafi fire, 27 December 2022 Rafi, Birnin Gwari

Out · last detection 5 Jan 2023, 13:14 UTC

The fire started on 27 December 2022 in Rafi, Nigeria, and satellites saw it burning for 10 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,203 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 136th largest in Niger since 2016 (of 271 with a page). Number 44 in Nigeria in 2022, of 125.

The power measured by the satellite is low (21.8 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Compare with…
Burnt area
3,203ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
10days
27 Dec 2022 – 5 Jan 2023
Municipalities hit
2
local government areas
Started on
27 Dec
2022
Heat detections
118
in a single hotspot: 22 MW
Danger at start
48
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
66MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 27 Dec5 Jan
5 Jan 2023

How it evolved, day by day

27 Dec 2022 · 16 MW · 5 29 Dec 2022 · 18 MW · 4 30 Dec 2022 · 24 MW · 6 1 Jan 2023 · 90 MW · 9 2 Jan 2023 · 52 MW · 8 3 Jan 2023 · 49 MW · 12 4 Jan 2023 · 225 MW · 30 5 Jan 2023 · 50 MW · 12
27 Dec 30 Dec 2 Jan 4 Jan

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

34°high
42km/h · peak gust
16%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

91% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 356 ha in 2019, 3,015 ha in 2021. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 2,909 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2% of the area of London (32 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Rafi where it started
    2,946 ha reached on 26 Dec
    0.8 %
  2. 280 ha reached on 4 Jan
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area1.6 ha
Residents≈ 300

Inside the perimeter there were about 1.6 hectares of built-up land and about 300 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
27 Dec 33.2 °C 21 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
28 Dec 33.7 °C 16 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
29 Dec 32.1 °C 19 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
30 Dec 31.4 °C 16 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
31 Dec 31.0 °C 19 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
1 Jan 31.0 °C 21 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
2 Jan 31.8 °C 23 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
3 Jan 31.9 °C 23 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
4 Jan 32.7 °C 22 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
5 Jan 32.9 °C 21 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
6 Jan after 32.3 °C 24 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
7 Jan after 34.1 °C 19 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
8 Jan after 35.1 °C 16 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
9 Jan after 33.8 °C 17 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
10 Jan after 33.0 °C 19 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
11 Jan after 32.0 °C 20 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
12 Jan after 32.9 °C 20 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
13 Jan after 33.3 °C 19 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
14 Jan after 33.7 °C 15 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
15 Jan after 33.1 °C 18 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 20 Dec 2022
After · 12 Jan 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 118Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Nigeria ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Rafi fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 27 December 2022 and 5 January 2023: 10 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,203 hectares (32.0 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Rafi (2,946 ha, 0.8 %); Birnin Gwari (280 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 33.7 °C, humidity dropped to 16 % and gusts hit 42 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 50, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Nigeria (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 112 · Emergency number and official warnings ›

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

No changes since 24 October 2026.

RSS Changes to this page

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 118 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology ›

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.