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Popasna fire, 16 July 2024 Попаснянський район · Popasna

Out · last detection 16 Jul 2024, 11:04 UTC

The fire started on 16 July 2024 in Popasna, Ukraine, and satellites saw it burning for 2 days. Copernicus mapped a burnt perimeter of 192 hectares from satellite imagery, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 465th largest in Luhansk Oblast since 2016 (of 909 with a page). Number 1006 in Ukraine in 2024, of 2092.

The power measured by the satellite is low (7.8 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
192ha
Copernicus perimeter
Duration
2days
16 Jul 2024 – 17 Jul 2024
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
16 Jul
2024
Heat detections
5
in a single hotspot: 8 MW
Danger at start
39
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
23MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 16 Jul17 Jul

How it evolved, day by day

16 Jul 2024 · 23 MW · 5

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

36°high
34km/h · peak gust
26%lowest humidity

It had gone 7 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

14% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 26 ha in 2023.

What happened to each town

  1. Popasna Попаснянський район 40,204 inhabitants · 8.6 km from the centre where it started
    192 ha reached on 16 Jul
    0.1 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the official perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

What burned

  • Other natural land58 %
  • Mixed forest30 %
  • Agricultural areas12 %

Land cover inside the perimeter as reported by Copernicus EFFIS (outside the Corine Land Cover area).

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
16 Jul 35.7 °C 27 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
17 Jul 36.2 °C 26 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
18 Jul after 36.7 °C 24 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
19 Jul after 34.4 °C 32 % 35 km/h 0.1 mm Very high 39
20 Jul after 31.0 °C 27 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
21 Jul after 33.2 °C 23 % 21 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
22 Jul after 23.9 °C 48 % 40 km/h 0.3 mm High 31
23 Jul after 29.3 °C 32 % 43 km/h 0.2 mm High 33
24 Jul after 25.2 °C 43 % 36 km/h 0.1 mm High 30
25 Jul after 28.5 °C 29 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
26 Jul after 29.5 °C 23 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
27 Jul after 29.0 °C 22 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 36

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 39.2, a minimum humidity of 27% and 7 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 16.

FWI at the start 39.2
Minimum humidity 27 %
Days without rain 7
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Shakhtarsk fire, September 2024
103 ha 1 day FWI 38.6 Min. humidity 27 % 70 km away, in 2024

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

2 days
median duration
174 ha
median area
0 %
went past 1,000 ha
4.2 mm
rain at the end (median; 12 of 16 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (192 ha against a median of 174 ha) and lasted 2 days, against 2 days.

In 4 of 16, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 4.2 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
34km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 17 Jul, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 12 of 16, with a median of 4.2 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 9 Jul 2024
After · 24 Jul 2024

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 17 July 2024 the air beside the fire reached 11 µg/m³ of PM2.5, but no daily average passed the WHO guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak11 µg/m³
Days over the guideline0 days
PM1014 µg/m³
Optical depth0.61
14 Jul16 Jul18 Jul20 Jul
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 5Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Ukraine

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Popasna fire last?
Copernicus dates it between 16 July 2024 and 17 July 2024: 2 days between the first and last image with fire.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter Copernicus measured from satellite imagery is 192 hectares (1.9 km²). Official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Popasna (192 ha, 0.1 %).
Did the fire reach a town?
The fire started in Popasna and came within 8.6 km of its centre. That is the distance from the perimeter, or the nearest hotspot, to the point marking the centre; it does not mean it entered the houses.
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 36.2 °C, humidity dropped to 26 % and gusts hit 34 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 39, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the EFFIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Ukraine (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 16. Their median duration was 2 days and their median area 174 ha; 0 % went past 1,000 ha. In 4 of 16, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 4.2 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 101 · 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 101 · 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: EFFIS (Copernicus), mapped on satellite imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 5 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter and land cover come from the Copernicus European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), measured on MODIS and Sentinel-2 imagery and published under CC BY 4.0. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from each country’s official figure.