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UA · Ukraine ·

Pavlohrad fire, 22 September 2023 Павлоградський район · Pavlohrad

Out · last detection 22 Sept 2023, 10:27 UTC

The fire started on 22 September 2023 in Pavlohrad, Ukraine, and satellites saw it burning for 1 day. Copernicus mapped a burnt perimeter of 415 hectares from satellite imagery, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 26th largest in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast since 2016 (of 183 with a page). Number 92 in Ukraine in 2023, of 491.

The power measured by the satellite is low (27.2 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
415ha
Copernicus perimeter
Duration
1day
22 Sept 2023 – 22 Sept 2023
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
22 Sept
2023
Heat detections
6
in a single hotspot: 27 MW
Danger at start
29
High · FWI index
Average daily power
55MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 22 Sept22 Sept

How it evolved, day by day

22 Sept 2023 · 55 MW · 6

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

27°high
38km/h · peak gust
43%lowest humidity

It had gone 6 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

What happened to each town

  1. Pavlohrad Павлоградський район 27,252 inhabitants · 19.9 km from the centre where it started
    413 ha reached on 22 Sept
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the official perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

What burned

  • Agricultural areas75 %
  • Other natural land24 %
  • Mixed forest1.2 %

Land cover inside the perimeter as reported by Copernicus EFFIS (outside the Corine Land Cover area).

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
22 Sept 26.7 °C 43 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
23 Sept after 26.7 °C 34 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
24 Sept after 27.4 °C 28 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
25 Sept after 27.0 °C 28 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
26 Sept after 27.6 °C 28 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
27 Sept after 27.5 °C 28 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
28 Sept after 27.2 °C 30 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
29 Sept after 26.5 °C 30 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
30 Sept after 26.1 °C 28 % 21 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
1 Oct after 25.9 °C 33 % 14 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
2 Oct after 19.2 °C 48 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm High 34

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 28.9, a minimum humidity of 43% and 6 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2020: 22.

FWI at the start 28.9
Minimum humidity 43 %
Days without rain 6
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Zaporizhia fire, June 2026
110 ha 11 days FWI 27.2 Min. humidity 43 % 101 km away, in 2026

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 2.3 mm on 4 Jul.

What happened to them

6 days
median duration
155 ha
median area
0 %
went past 1,000 ha
3.2 mm
rain at the end (median; 18 of 22 had it)

It was 2.7 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 1 day, against 6 days.

Only 5 of its 22 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 4 of 22, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.2 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
38km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 22 Sept, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 18 of 22, with a median of 3.2 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2020.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 15 Sept 2023
After · 29 Sept 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 21 September 2023 the air beside the fire reached 23 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 18: 1.2 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak23 µg/m³
Days over the guideline3 days
PM1064 µg/m³
Optical depth0.13
20 Sept22 Sept24 Sept
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 6Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Ukraine

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Pavlohrad fire last?
Copernicus dates it between 22 September 2023 and 22 September 2023: 1 day between the first and last image with fire.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter Copernicus measured from satellite imagery is 415 hectares (4.2 km²). Official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Pavlohrad (413 ha, 0.2 %).
Did the fire reach a town?
The fire started in Pavlohrad and came within 19.9 km of its centre. That is the distance from the perimeter, or the nearest hotspot, to the point marking the centre; it does not mean it entered the houses.
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 26.7 °C, humidity dropped to 43 % and gusts hit 38 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 29, class High.
Where does this data come from?
From the EFFIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Ukraine (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2020 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 22. Their median duration was 6 days and their median area 155 ha; 0 % went past 1,000 ha. Only 5 of its 22 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 4 of 22, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.2 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 101 · 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 101 · 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: EFFIS (Copernicus), mapped on satellite imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 6 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter and land cover come from the Copernicus European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), measured on MODIS and Sentinel-2 imagery and published under CC BY 4.0. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from each country’s official figure.