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SS · South Sudan · –

Panyikang fire, 20 December 2022 Panyikang

Out · last detection 31 Dec 2022, 11:26 UTC

The fire started on 20 December 2022 in Panyikang, South Sudan, and satellites saw it burning for 15 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 5,747 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 176th largest in Upper Nile since 2016 (of 238 with a page). Number 97 in South Sudan in 2022, of 124.

Burnt area
5,747ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
15days
20 Dec 2022 – 3 Jan 2023
Municipalities hit
1
counties
Started on
20 Dec
2022
Heat detections
206
in a single hotspot: 79 MW
Danger at start
62
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
164MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 20 Dec3 Jan
31 Dec 2022

How it evolved, day by day

20 Dec 2022 · 468 MW · 34 21 Dec 2022 · 336 MW · 38 22 Dec 2022 · 18 MW · 7 23 Dec 2022 · 264 MW · 45 24 Dec 2022 · 149 MW · 17 25 Dec 2022 · 38 MW · 9 26 Dec 2022 · 160 MW · 16 27 Dec 2022 · 204 MW · 25 28 Dec 2022 · 5 MW · 1 30 Dec 2022 · 3 MW · 1 31 Dec 2022 · 164 MW · 13
20 Dec 23 Dec 26 Dec 30 Dec

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

37°high
45km/h · peak gust
13%lowest humidity

It had gone 57 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

89% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 61 ha in 2016, 2,827 ha in 2017, 2,226 ha in 2019, 1,518 ha in 2020, 2,246 ha in 2021. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 5,101 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 3.6% of the area of London (57 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Panyikang where it started
    5,788 ha reached on 20 Dec
    1.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
20 Dec 36.5 °C 16 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
21 Dec 36.3 °C 16 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
22 Dec 36.7 °C 16 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
23 Dec 35.0 °C 15 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 79
24 Dec 34.3 °C 15 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 76
25 Dec 33.4 °C 14 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 79
26 Dec 32.0 °C 13 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 77
27 Dec 32.2 °C 13 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 77
28 Dec 32.5 °C 15 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 70
29 Dec 33.7 °C 17 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 71
30 Dec 33.3 °C 15 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 73
31 Dec 34.9 °C 18 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 78
1 Jan 35.1 °C 19 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 79
2 Jan 35.3 °C 19 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 72
3 Jan 35.5 °C 21 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 75
4 Jan after 35.8 °C 23 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 74
5 Jan after 34.9 °C 17 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 73
6 Jan after 34.6 °C 17 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 73
7 Jan after 34.5 °C 15 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 72
8 Jan after 35.7 °C 14 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
9 Jan after 35.5 °C 13 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 77
10 Jan after 33.9 °C 13 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 80
11 Jan after 33.9 °C 14 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 75
12 Jan after 35.0 °C 14 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 77
13 Jan after 34.3 °C 17 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 70

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 62.3, a minimum humidity of 16% and 57 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 32.

FWI at the start 62.3
Minimum humidity 16 %
Days without rain 57
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Canal/Pigi fire, January 2025
9,233 ha 22 days FWI 62.9 Min. humidity 15 % 78 km away, in 2025

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

13 days
median duration
7,490 ha
median area
38 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.0 mm
rain at the end (median; 5 of 32 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (5,747 ha against a median of 7,490 ha) and lasted 15 days, against 13 days.

In 27 of 32, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.0 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
45km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 3 Jan, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 5 of 32, with a median of 2.0 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 13 Dec 2022
After · 10 Jan 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 22 December 2022 the air beside the fire reached 227 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 82: 5.5 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak227 µg/m³
Days over the guideline12 days
PM10332 µg/m³
Optical depth1.34
18 Dec21 Dec24 Dec27 Dec30 Dec
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 206Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in South Sudan

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Panyikang fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 20 December 2022 to 3 January 2023 (15 days). The perimeter dates it from 20 December 2022 to 28 December 2022.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 5,747 hectares (57.5 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Panyikang (5,788 ha, 1.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 36.7 °C, humidity dropped to 13 % and gusts hit 45 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 79, class Very extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of South Sudan (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 32. Their median duration was 13 days and their median area 7,490 ha; 38 % went past 10,000 ha. In 27 of 32, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.0 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 28 December 2022 → 3 January 2023.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 20 December 2022 to 28 December 2022. 206 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.