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SS · South Sudan · –

Panyikang fire, 17 November 2016 Panyikang, Canal/Pigi, Baliet

Out · last detection 29 Nov 2016, 11:07 UTC

The fire started on 17 November 2016 in Panyikang, South Sudan, and satellites saw it burning for 12 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 9,137 hectares from heat detections, spread across 3 municipalities.

It is the 79th largest in Upper Nile since 2016 (of 238 with a page). Number 82 in South Sudan in 2016, of 244.

Burnt area
9,137ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
12days
17 Nov 2016 – 28 Nov 2016
Municipalities hit
3
counties
Started on
17 Nov
2016
Heat detections
283
in a single hotspot: 235 MW
Danger at start
41
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
555MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 17 Nov28 Nov
29 Nov 2016

How it evolved, day by day

17 Nov 2016 · 52 MW · 3 18 Nov 2016 · 28 MW · 2 19 Nov 2016 · 1,713 MW · 57 20 Nov 2016 · 66 MW · 6 21 Nov 2016 · 2,523 MW · 109 22 Nov 2016 · 1,351 MW · 63 23 Nov 2016 · 178 MW · 29 24 Nov 2016 · 160 MW · 9 25 Nov 2016 · 4 MW · 1 28 Nov 2016 · 25 MW · 3 29 Nov 2016 · 5 MW · 1
17 Nov 21 Nov 28 Nov

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

40°high
37km/h · peak gust
12%lowest humidity

It had gone 20 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 5.8% of the area of London (91 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Panyikang where it started
    7,838 ha reached on 17 Nov
    1.6 %
  2. 1,350 ha reached on 21 Nov
    0.3 %
  3. 5 ha
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2015
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2015, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
17 Nov 37.3 °C 22 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
18 Nov 36.3 °C 27 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
19 Nov 37.6 °C 23 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
20 Nov 38.2 °C 23 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
21 Nov 39.0 °C 16 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
22 Nov 39.5 °C 14 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
23 Nov 36.7 °C 27 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
24 Nov 37.8 °C 15 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
25 Nov 36.8 °C 13 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
26 Nov 37.2 °C 12 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
27 Nov 37.9 °C 13 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
28 Nov 38.0 °C 12 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
29 Nov after 38.2 °C 13 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
30 Nov after 38.2 °C 17 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
1 Dec after 37.5 °C 24 % 19 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
2 Dec after 36.6 °C 21 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
3 Dec after 37.7 °C 18 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
4 Dec after 38.4 °C 20 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
5 Dec after 38.7 °C 14 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
6 Dec after 39.5 °C 8 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 68
7 Dec after 38.4 °C 14 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 73
8 Dec after 38.3 °C 14 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 68

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 41.1, a minimum humidity of 22% and 20 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 39.

FWI at the start 41.1
Minimum humidity 22 %
Days without rain 20
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Nyirol fire, December 2023
9,668 ha 20 days FWI 42.1 Min. humidity 22 % 134 km away, in 2023

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

9 days
median duration
5,347 ha
median area
21 %
went past 10,000 ha
1.7 mm
rain at the end (median; 3 of 39 had it)

It was 1.7 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 12 days, against 9 days.

Only 10 of its 39 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 36 of 39, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.7 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
37km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 28 Nov, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 3 of 39, with a median of 1.7 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 10 Nov 2016
After · 5 Dec 2016

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 283Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in South Sudan

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Panyikang fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 17 November 2016 to 28 November 2016 (12 days). The perimeter dates it from 19 November 2016 to 23 November 2016.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 9,137 hectares (91.4 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 3 municipalities: Panyikang (7,838 ha, 1.6 %); Canal/Pigi (1,350 ha, 0.3 %); Baliet (5 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 39.5 °C, humidity dropped to 12 % and gusts hit 37 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 54, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of South Sudan (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 39. Their median duration was 9 days and their median area 5,347 ha; 21 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 10 of its 39 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 36 of 39, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.7 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 23 November 2016 → 28 November 2016.
  2. Start date: 19 November 2016 → 17 November 2016.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 19 November 2016 to 23 November 2016. 283 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2015, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.