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SS · South Sudan · –

Nzara fire, 17 December 2020 Nzara, Yambio

Out · last detection 27 Dec 2020, 10:46 UTC

The fire started on 17 December 2020 in Nzara, South Sudan, and satellites saw it burning for 11 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 5,453 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 271th largest in Western Equatoria since 2016 (of 299 with a page). Number 175 in South Sudan in 2020, of 190.

Compare with…
Burnt area
5,453ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
11days
17 Dec 2020 – 27 Dec 2020
Municipalities hit
2
counties
Started on
17 Dec
2020
Heat detections
166
in a single hotspot: 98 MW
Danger at start
49
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
430MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 17 Dec27 Dec
27 Dec 2020

How it evolved, day by day

17 Dec 2020 · 2,486 MW · 85 18 Dec 2020 · 77 MW · 13 19 Dec 2020 · 675 MW · 38 20 Dec 2020 · 7 MW · 2 23 Dec 2020 · 66 MW · 17 24 Dec 2020 · 96 MW · 4 26 Dec 2020 · 24 MW · 5 27 Dec 2020 · 3 MW · 2
17 Dec 19 Dec 23 Dec 26 Dec

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

37°high
42km/h · peak gust
15%lowest humidity

It had gone 39 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

96% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 3,256 ha in 2016, 2,657 ha in 2017, 1,240 ha in 2018, 1,514 ha in 2019. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 5,249 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 3.4% of the area of London (55 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Nzara where it started
    4,199 ha reached on 17 Dec
    0.6 %
  2. 1,296 ha reached on 17 Dec
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
17 Dec 35.9 °C 15 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
18 Dec 35.5 °C 19 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
19 Dec 35.3 °C 18 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
20 Dec 35.5 °C 19 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
21 Dec 36.5 °C 19 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
22 Dec 36.0 °C 23 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
23 Dec 36.8 °C 21 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
24 Dec 36.1 °C 22 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
25 Dec 37.3 °C 18 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
26 Dec 36.3 °C 22 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
27 Dec 36.8 °C 19 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
28 Dec after 36.6 °C 21 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
29 Dec after 36.4 °C 20 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
30 Dec after 36.7 °C 19 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
31 Dec after 36.9 °C 17 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
1 Jan after 36.1 °C 17 % 21 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
2 Jan after 36.1 °C 21 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
3 Jan after 35.2 °C 24 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
4 Jan after 35.1 °C 23 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
5 Jan after 37.3 °C 19 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
6 Jan after 38.0 °C 15 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 48.9, a minimum humidity of 15% and 39 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 23.

FWI at the start 48.9
Minimum humidity 15 %
Days without rain 39
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Nzara fire, January 2025
7,716 ha 12 days FWI 50.3 Min. humidity 15 % 8 km away, in 2025

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

11 days
median duration
7,668 ha
median area
26 %
went past 10,000 ha
—
rain at the end (median; 0 of 23 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (5,453 ha against a median of 7,668 ha) and lasted 11 days, against 11 days.

In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
42km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 27 Dec, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. None of its 23 twins had rain when they ended.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 10 Dec 2020
After · 3 Jan 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 166Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in South Sudan

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Nzara fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 17 December 2020 to 27 December 2020 (11 days). The perimeter dates it from 17 December 2020 to 20 December 2020.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 5,453 hectares (54.5 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Nzara (4,199 ha, 0.6 %); Yambio (1,296 ha, 0.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 37.3 °C, humidity dropped to 15 % and gusts hit 42 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 50, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of South Sudan (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 23. Their median duration was 11 days and their median area 7,668 ha; 26 % went past 10,000 ha. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 20 December 2020 → 27 December 2020.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 17 December 2020 to 20 December 2020. 166 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.