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SS · South Sudan · –

Nyirol fire, 23 December 2023 Nyirol

Out · last detection 28 Dec 2023, 11:38 UTC

The fire started on 23 December 2023 in Nyirol, South Sudan, and satellites saw it burning for 6 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 6,198 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 223th largest in Jonglei since 2016 (of 328 with a page). Number 73 in South Sudan in 2023, of 106.

Burnt area
6,198ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
6days
23 Dec 2023 – 28 Dec 2023
Municipalities hit
1
counties
Started on
23 Dec
2023
Heat detections
166
in a single hotspot: 164 MW
Danger at start
59
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
593MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 23 Dec28 Dec
28 Dec 2023

How it evolved, day by day

23 Dec 2023 · 44 MW · 2 24 Dec 2023 · 1,399 MW · 88 25 Dec 2023 · 1,332 MW · 67 26 Dec 2023 · 156 MW · 7 28 Dec 2023 · 37 MW · 2
23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 28 Dec

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

39°high
44km/h · peak gust
10%lowest humidity

It had gone 38 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

98% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 2,902 ha in 2016, 2 ha in 2017, 3,508 ha in 2018, 575 ha in 2019, 469 ha in 2020, 4,310 ha in 2021, 2,516 ha in 2022. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 6,087 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 3.9% of the area of London (62 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Nyirol where it started
    6,241 ha reached on 23 Dec
    0.9 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 33 % of the area in South Sudan

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
23 Dec 39.1 °C 11 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
24 Dec 37.9 °C 10 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
25 Dec 38.1 °C 12 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
26 Dec 37.7 °C 14 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
27 Dec 37.6 °C 17 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
28 Dec 36.6 °C 14 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
29 Dec after 37.2 °C 11 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
30 Dec after 37.3 °C 13 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
31 Dec after 37.2 °C 11 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
1 Jan after 37.3 °C 12 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
2 Jan after 38.1 °C 13 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
3 Jan after 37.8 °C 10 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
4 Jan after 37.8 °C 10 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
5 Jan after 36.3 °C 11 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
6 Jan after 36.9 °C 10 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
7 Jan after 36.7 °C 11 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 59.3, a minimum humidity of 11% and 38 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 15.

FWI at the start 59.3
Minimum humidity 11 %
Days without rain 38
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Canal/Pigi fire, January 2017
21,235 ha 17 days FWI 59.7 Min. humidity 11 % 24 km away, in 2017

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

12 days
median duration
8,278 ha
median area
33 %
went past 10,000 ha
—
rain at the end (median; 0 of 15 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (6,198 ha against a median of 8,278 ha) and lasted 6 days, against 12 days.

In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
44km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 28 Dec, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. None of its 15 twins had rain when they ended.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 16 Dec 2023
After · 4 Jan 2024

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 26 December 2023 the air beside the fire reached 59 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 36: 2.4 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak59 µg/m³
Days over the guideline10 days
PM1084 µg/m³
Optical depth0.93
21 Dec24 Dec27 Dec30 Dec
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 166Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in South Sudan

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Nyirol fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 23 December 2023 and 28 December 2023: 6 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 6,198 hectares (62.0 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Nyirol (6,241 ha, 0.9 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 39.1 °C, humidity dropped to 10 % and gusts hit 44 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 60, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of South Sudan (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 15. Their median duration was 12 days and their median area 8,278 ha; 33 % went past 10,000 ha. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 166 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.