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MW · Malawi · –

Nkhotakota fire, November 2017 Nkhotakota

Out · last detection 21 Nov 2017, 11:07 UTC

The fire started on 10 November 2017 in Nkhotakota, Malawi, and satellites saw it burning for 13 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 1,005 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 158th largest in Central Region since 2016 (of 159 with a page). Number 62 in Malawi in 2017, of 62.

Burnt area
1,005ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
13days
10 Nov 2017 – 22 Nov 2017
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
10 Nov
2017
Heat detections
35
in a single hotspot: 40 MW
Danger at start
16
Moderate · FWI index
Average daily power
42MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 10 Nov22 Nov
21 Nov 2017

How it evolved, day by day

10 Nov 2017 · 43 MW · 3 11 Nov 2017 · 51 MW · 7 13 Nov 2017 · 102 MW · 7 14 Nov 2017 · 21 MW · 3 15 Nov 2017 · 5 MW · 2 16 Nov 2017 · 120 MW · 8 17 Nov 2017 · 2 MW · 1 18 Nov 2017 · 27 MW · 3 21 Nov 2017 · 3 MW · 1
10 Nov 13 Nov 16 Nov 21 Nov

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

32°high
46km/h · peak gust
25%lowest humidity

It had gone 4 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 2.0 mm on 23 Nov.

This area had burned before

57% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 592 ha in 2016.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 0.6% of the area of London (10 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Nkhotakota where it started
    1,009 ha reached on 10 Nov
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2015
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2015, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
10 Nov 29.2 °C 36 % 42 km/h 1.0 mm Moderate 16
11 Nov 29.9 °C 37 % 42 km/h 1.1 mm Moderate 14
12 Nov 27.3 °C 55 % 36 km/h 3.3 mm Very low 3
13 Nov 28.5 °C 39 % 40 km/h 0.6 mm Moderate 12
14 Nov 30.2 °C 30 % 44 km/h 0.1 mm Moderate 21
15 Nov 30.0 °C 30 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
16 Nov 31.5 °C 25 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
17 Nov 32.1 °C 25 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
18 Nov 29.2 °C 38 % 46 km/h 0.2 mm High 28
19 Nov 28.6 °C 44 % 43 km/h 1.4 mm Moderate 14
20 Nov 26.7 °C 56 % 36 km/h 8.1 mm Very low 2
21 Nov 26.9 °C 51 % 35 km/h 1.1 mm Very low 5
22 Nov 28.5 °C 44 % 38 km/h 0.5 mm Moderate 11
23 Nov after 29.0 °C 46 % 36 km/h 2.0 mm Low 6

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 15.7, a minimum humidity of 36% and 4 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 23.

FWI at the start 15.7
Minimum humidity 36 %
Days without rain 4
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Nkhotakota fire, October 2018
1,574 ha 12 days FWI 15.5 Min. humidity 36 % 40 km away, in 2018

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 1.6 mm on 9 Nov.

What happened to them

13 days
median duration
1,675 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
2.2 mm
rain at the end (median; 16 of 23 had it)

It stayed below its twins: 1,005 ha against a median of 1,675 ha. It lasted 13 days, against 13 days.

In 7 of 23, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.2 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

2.0 mmfirst rain
23 Novthe day after it ended
46km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 22 Nov, and on 23 Nov 2.0 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 16 of 23, with a median of 2.2 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 3 Nov 2017
After · 29 Nov 2017

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 35Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Malawi

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Nkhotakota fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 10 November 2017 to 22 November 2017 (13 days). The perimeter dates it from 11 November 2017 to 18 November 2017.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 1,005 hectares (10.0 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Nkhotakota (1,009 ha, 0.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 32.1 °C, humidity dropped to 25 % and gusts hit 46 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 30, class High.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Malawi (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 23. Their median duration was 13 days and their median area 1,675 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In 7 of 23, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.2 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 18 November 2017 → 22 November 2017.
  2. Start date: 11 November 2017 → 10 November 2017.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 11 November 2017 to 18 November 2017. 35 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2015, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.