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MX · Mexico · –

Nicolás Flores fire, March 2024 Nicolás Flores

Out · last detection 30 Mar 2024, 08:13 UTC

The fire started on 25 March 2024 in Nicolás Flores, Mexico, and satellites saw it burning for 6 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,072 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

Number 179 in Mexico in 2024, of 289.

Compare with…
Burnt area
2,072ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
6days
25 Mar 2024 – 30 Mar 2024
Municipalities hit
1
municipalities
Started on
25 Mar
2024
Heat detections
76
in a single hotspot: 41 MW
Danger at start
56
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
218MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 25 Mar30 Mar
30 Mar 2024

How it evolved, day by day

26 Mar 2024 · 273 MW · 47 27 Mar 2024 · 379 MW · 27 30 Mar 2024 · 2 MW · 2
26 Mar 27 Mar 30 Mar

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

27°high
72km/h · peak gust
11%lowest humidity

It had gone 6 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.3% of the area of London (21 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Nicolás Flores where it started
    2,081 ha reached on 26 Mar
    8.3 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area3.3 ha
Residents≈ 500

Inside the perimeter there were about 3.3 hectares of built-up land and about 500 residents (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

Official record

According to CONAFOR, this fire started on 25 March 2024 and burned 1,018 ha (the satellite measured 2,072 ha). The two figures differ a lot, so these may not be exactly the same fire: take them as nearby records.

CONAFOR (Comisión Nacional Forestal), estadística de incendios forestales en datos.gob.mx (CC BY 4.0). This is the agency’s consolidated statistic: it measures the area in its own way, which is why it can differ from the satellite.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Strong wind: 19 % of the area in Mexico Very dry air: 21 % of the area in Mexico

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
25 Mar 25.3 °C 11 % 72 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
26 Mar 24.4 °C 17 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
27 Mar 23.8 °C 18 % 51 km/h 0.1 mm High 34
28 Mar 13.8 °C 62 % 42 km/h 1.7 mm Low 6
29 Mar 24.5 °C 24 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 15
30 Mar 26.8 °C 18 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
31 Mar after 26.7 °C 19 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
1 Apr after 28.5 °C 14 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
2 Apr after 28.4 °C 16 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
3 Apr after 15.7 °C 39 % 49 km/h 0.8 mm Moderate 20
4 Apr after 19.0 °C 35 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 19
5 Apr after 22.6 °C 30 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 21
6 Apr after 27.5 °C 13 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
7 Apr after 27.2 °C 19 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
8 Apr after 27.4 °C 16 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
9 Apr after 28.6 °C 13 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 55.7, a minimum humidity of 11% and 6 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2017: 4.

FWI at the start 55.7
Minimum humidity 11 %
Days without rain 6
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

San Luis Potosí fire, April 2019
20,876 ha 34 days FWI 56.0 Min. humidity 10 % 232 km away, in 2019

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 1.4 mm on 29 May.

What happened to them

Fires in the area that started in similar weather: 4. With fewer than 15 we give no figures: they would be more noise than signal.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
72km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 30 Mar, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2017.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 18 Mar 2024
After · 6 Apr 2024

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 26 March 2024 the air beside the fire reached 38 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 22: 1.5 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak38 µg/m³
Days over the guideline2 days
PM1054 µg/m³
Optical depth0.60
23 Mar26 Mar29 Mar1 Apr
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 76Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Nicolás Flores fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 25 March 2024 and 30 March 2024: 6 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,072 hectares (20.7 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Nicolás Flores (2,081 ha, 8.3 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 26.8 °C, humidity dropped to 11 % and gusts hit 72 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 56, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Mexico (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 911 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 911.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 76 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • Compared with CONAFOR: 1,018 official ha against 2,072 ha of perimeter; similar, but with reservations.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.