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ZM · Zambia · –

Ngabwe fire, October 2020 Chibombo, Ngabwe

Out · last detection 2 Nov 2020, 11:12 UTC

The fire started on 27 October 2020 in Ngabwe, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 7 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 6,083 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 77th largest in Central since 2016 (of 258 with a page). Number 72 in Zambia in 2020, of 229.

Burnt area
6,083ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
7days
27 Oct 2020 – 2 Nov 2020
Municipalities hit
2
districts
Started on
27 Oct
2020
Heat detections
235
in a single hotspot: 150 MW
Danger at start
53
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
581MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 27 Oct2 Nov
2 Nov 2020

How it evolved, day by day

27 Oct 2020 · 118 MW · 7 28 Oct 2020 · 515 MW · 42 29 Oct 2020 · 767 MW · 50 30 Oct 2020 · 619 MW · 38 31 Oct 2020 · 687 MW · 25 1 Nov 2020 · 888 MW · 38 2 Nov 2020 · 476 MW · 35
27 Oct 29 Oct 1 Nov

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

35°high
50km/h · peak gust
17%lowest humidity

It had gone 14 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.0 mm on 3 Nov.

This area had burned before

67% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,440 ha in 2016, 3,397 ha in 2019. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 4,052 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 3.8% of the area of London (61 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. 4,692 ha
    0.6 %
  2. Ngabwe where it started
    1,420 ha
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
27 Oct 33.4 °C 23 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
28 Oct 33.8 °C 18 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
29 Oct 33.7 °C 24 % 45 km/h 0.4 mm Very high 50
30 Oct 34.6 °C 19 % 50 km/h 0.2 mm Extreme 60
31 Oct 33.4 °C 17 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 68
1 Nov 32.1 °C 27 % 42 km/h 0.3 mm Extreme 54
2 Nov 32.0 °C 28 % 39 km/h 0.2 mm Very high 43
3 Nov after 33.8 °C 26 % 38 km/h 1.0 mm Very high 42

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 53.3, a minimum humidity of 23% and 14 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 9.

FWI at the start 53.3
Minimum humidity 23 %
Days without rain 14
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Rufunsa fire, October 2019
8,833 ha 15 days FWI 47.9 Min. humidity 24 % 247 km away, in 2019

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 1.0 mm on 7 Nov.

What happened to them

Fires in the area that started in similar weather: 9. With fewer than 15 we give no figures: they would be more noise than signal.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.0 mmfirst rain
3 Novthe day after it ended
50km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 2 Nov, and on 3 Nov 1.0 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 20 Oct 2020
After · 9 Nov 2020

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 235Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Ngabwe fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 27 October 2020 and 2 November 2020: 7 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 6,083 hectares (60.8 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Chibombo (4,692 ha, 0.6 %); Ngabwe (1,420 ha, 0.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 34.6 °C, humidity dropped to 17 % and gusts hit 50 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 68, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Name: Chibombo → Ngabwe.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 235 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.