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NA · Namibia · –

Ndiyona fire, 8 August 2023 Ndiyona, Mashare

Out · last detection 15 Aug 2023, 12:03 UTC

The fire started on 8 August 2023 in Ndiyona, Namibia, and satellites saw it burning for 8 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,074 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 317th largest in Kavango East since 2016 (of 332 with a page). Number 109 in Namibia in 2023, of 111.

The power measured by the satellite is low (26.2 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
2,074ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
8days
8 Aug 2023 – 15 Aug 2023
Municipalities hit
2
constituencies
Started on
8 Aug
2023
Heat detections
57
in a single hotspot: 26 MW
Danger at start
42
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
48MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 8 Aug15 Aug
15 Aug 2023

How it evolved, day by day

8 Aug 2023 · 41 MW · 6 9 Aug 2023 · 74 MW · 8 10 Aug 2023 · 73 MW · 7 11 Aug 2023 · 46 MW · 8 12 Aug 2023 · 19 MW · 3 13 Aug 2023 · 40 MW · 9 14 Aug 2023 · 19 MW · 5 15 Aug 2023 · 72 MW · 11
9 Aug 12 Aug 14 Aug

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

31°high
46km/h · peak gust
13%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

92% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,891 ha in 2020, 19 ha in 2022.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.3% of the area of London (21 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Ndiyona where it started
    1,873 ha reached on 8 Aug
    0.2 %
  2. 212 ha reached on 9 Aug
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 88 % of the area in Namibia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
8 Aug 27.2 °C 19 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
9 Aug 27.6 °C 20 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
10 Aug 28.2 °C 20 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
11 Aug 28.3 °C 20 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
12 Aug 29.1 °C 17 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
13 Aug 30.0 °C 16 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
14 Aug 30.0 °C 18 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
15 Aug 31.2 °C 13 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
16 Aug after 31.4 °C 11 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
17 Aug after 31.6 °C 15 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
18 Aug after 33.0 °C 13 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
19 Aug after 32.8 °C 13 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
20 Aug after 33.9 °C 13 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
21 Aug after 34.4 °C 12 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
22 Aug after 34.5 °C 11 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
23 Aug after 34.5 °C 11 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
24 Aug after 34.0 °C 12 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
25 Aug after 35.0 °C 13 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 41.9, a minimum humidity of 19% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 16.

FWI at the start 41.9
Minimum humidity 19 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Rundu Rural West fire, August 2017
4,729 ha 12 days FWI 41.4 Min. humidity 19 % 74 km away, in 2017

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

7 days
median duration
4,204 ha
median area
0 %
went past 10,000 ha
—
rain at the end (median; 0 of 16 had it)

It stayed below its twins: 2,074 ha against a median of 4,204 ha. It lasted 8 days, against 7 days.

In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
46km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 15 Aug, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. None of its 16 twins had rain when they ended.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 1 Aug 2023
After · 22 Aug 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 15 August 2023 the air beside the fire reached 30 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 20: 1.4 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak30 µg/m³
Days over the guideline4 days
PM1043 µg/m³
Optical depth0.72
6 Aug9 Aug12 Aug15 Aug18 Aug
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 57Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Namibia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Ndiyona fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 8 August 2023 and 15 August 2023: 8 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,074 hectares (20.7 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Ndiyona (1,873 ha, 0.2 %); Mashare (212 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 31.2 °C, humidity dropped to 13 % and gusts hit 46 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 50, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Namibia (OCHA COD-AB). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 16. Their median duration was 7 days and their median area 4,204 ha; 0 % went past 10,000 ha. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 57 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from OCHA COD-AB (Namibia Statistics Agency (NSA)) (Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.