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NA · Namibia · –

Ndiyona fire, September 2021 Ndiyona

Out · last detection 20 Sept 2021, 12:15 UTC

The fire started on 10 September 2021 in Ndiyona, Namibia, and satellites saw it burning for 11 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,015 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 328th largest in Kavango East since 2016 (of 332 with a page). Number 175 in Namibia in 2021, of 175.

Burnt area
2,015ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
11days
10 Sept 2021 – 20 Sept 2021
Municipalities hit
1
constituencies
Started on
10 Sept
2021
Heat detections
51
in a single hotspot: 38 MW
Danger at start
56
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
72MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 10 Sept20 Sept
20 Sept 2021

How it evolved, day by day

10 Sept 2021 · 13 MW · 6 11 Sept 2021 · 325 MW · 27 12 Sept 2021 · 62 MW · 8 13 Sept 2021 · 77 MW · 3 18 Sept 2021 · 2 MW · 1 19 Sept 2021 · 17 MW · 5 20 Sept 2021 · 4 MW · 1
11 Sept 18 Sept 20 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

35°high
48km/h · peak gust
11%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

73% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,314 ha in 2016, 259 ha in 2017, 17 ha in 2018, 146 ha in 2020. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 1,471 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.3% of the area of London (20 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Ndiyona where it started
    2,025 ha reached on 10 Sept
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 88 % of the area in Namibia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
10 Sept 31.3 °C 20 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
11 Sept 29.5 °C 20 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
12 Sept 29.5 °C 17 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
13 Sept 30.7 °C 15 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
14 Sept 33.0 °C 12 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
15 Sept 34.5 °C 12 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
16 Sept 35.2 °C 12 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
17 Sept 32.5 °C 11 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
18 Sept 34.7 °C 14 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
19 Sept 33.4 °C 21 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
20 Sept 33.9 °C 21 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
21 Sept after 34.7 °C 18 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
22 Sept after 35.9 °C 13 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
23 Sept after 33.9 °C 16 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
24 Sept after 34.0 °C 15 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
25 Sept after 34.2 °C 11 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
26 Sept after 33.9 °C 10 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
27 Sept after 34.7 °C 11 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
28 Sept after 34.9 °C 13 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
29 Sept after 35.3 °C 15 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
30 Sept after 35.6 °C 17 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 56.5, a minimum humidity of 20% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 20.

FWI at the start 56.5
Minimum humidity 20 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Ngamiland West fire, August 2021
3,179 ha 4 days FWI 55.7 Min. humidity 20 % 166 km away, in 2021

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

9 days
median duration
5,810 ha
median area
20 %
went past 10,000 ha
1.6 mm
rain at the end (median; 4 of 20 had it)

It stayed below its twins: 2,015 ha against a median of 5,810 ha. It lasted 11 days, against 9 days.

In 16 of 20, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.6 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
48km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 20 Sept, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 4 of 20, with a median of 1.6 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 3 Sept 2021
After · 27 Sept 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 51Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Namibia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Ndiyona fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 10 September 2021 to 20 September 2021 (11 days). The perimeter dates it from 10 September 2021 to 13 September 2021.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,015 hectares (20.2 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Ndiyona (2,025 ha, 0.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 35.2 °C, humidity dropped to 11 % and gusts hit 48 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 58, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Namibia (OCHA COD-AB). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 20. Their median duration was 9 days and their median area 5,810 ha; 20 % went past 10,000 ha. In 16 of 20, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.6 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 13 September 2021 → 20 September 2021.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 10 September 2021 to 13 September 2021. 51 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from OCHA COD-AB (Namibia Statistics Agency (NSA)) (Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.