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NA · Namibia · –

Ndiyona fire, 11 October 2017 Ndiyona, Tsumkwe

Out · last detection 13 Oct 2017, 11:37 UTC

The fire started on 11 October 2017 in Ndiyona, Namibia, and satellites saw it burning for 4 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,004 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 332th largest in Kavango East since 2016 (of 332 with a page). Number 121 in Namibia in 2017, of 123.

Burnt area
2,004ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
4days
11 Oct 2017 – 14 Oct 2017
Municipalities hit
2
constituencies
Started on
11 Oct
2017
Heat detections
76
in a single hotspot: 60 MW
Danger at start
51
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
237MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 11 Oct14 Oct
13 Oct 2017

How it evolved, day by day

11 Oct 2017 · 85 MW · 7 12 Oct 2017 · 435 MW · 36 13 Oct 2017 · 190 MW · 33
11 Oct 12 Oct 13 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

37°high
44km/h · peak gust
8%lowest humidity

It had gone 4 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.3% of the area of London (20 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Ndiyona where it started
    2,020 ha reached on 11 Oct
    0.2 %
  2. 1 ha
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2015
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2015, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 81 % of the area in Namibia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
11 Oct 33.8 °C 8 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
12 Oct 35.9 °C 10 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
13 Oct 37.0 °C 9 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
14 Oct 36.1 °C 17 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
15 Oct after 36.4 °C 16 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
16 Oct after 38.7 °C 7 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
17 Oct after 36.2 °C 8 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 66
18 Oct after 37.1 °C 9 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
19 Oct after 38.1 °C 11 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
20 Oct after 37.7 °C 11 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
21 Oct after 35.7 °C 19 % 36 km/h 0.1 mm Extreme 58
22 Oct after 34.6 °C 24 % 46 km/h 0.6 mm Very high 48
23 Oct after 32.0 °C 30 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
24 Oct after 34.4 °C 24 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 50.8, a minimum humidity of 8% and 4 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 21.

FWI at the start 50.8
Minimum humidity 8 %
Days without rain 4
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Ngamiland West fire, October 2019
2,648 ha 10 days FWI 51.3 Min. humidity 8 % 173 km away, in 2019

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 1.8 mm on 31 Oct.

What happened to them

6 days
median duration
4,087 ha
median area
5 %
went past 10,000 ha
1.8 mm
rain at the end (median; 18 of 21 had it)

It stayed below its twins: 2,004 ha against a median of 4,087 ha. It lasted 4 days, against 6 days.

In 3 of 21, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.8 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
44km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 14 Oct, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 18 of 21, with a median of 1.8 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 4 Oct 2017
After · 21 Oct 2017

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 76Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Namibia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Ndiyona fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 11 October 2017 to 14 October 2017 (4 days). The perimeter dates it from 11 October 2017 to 13 October 2017.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,004 hectares (20.0 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Ndiyona (2,020 ha, 0.2 %); Tsumkwe (1 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 37.0 °C, humidity dropped to 8 % and gusts hit 44 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 62, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Namibia (OCHA COD-AB). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 21. Their median duration was 6 days and their median area 4,087 ha; 5 % went past 10,000 ha. In 3 of 21, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.8 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 13 October 2017 → 14 October 2017.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 11 October 2017 to 13 October 2017. 76 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2015, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from OCHA COD-AB (Namibia Statistics Agency (NSA)) (Creative Commons Attribution for Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY-IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.