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AO · Angola · –

Nancova fire, 24 August 2021 Nancova, Mavinga

Out · last detection 7 Sept 2021, 13:00 UTC

The fire started on 24 August 2021 in Nancova, Angola, and satellites saw it burning for 15 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 15,742 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 51th largest in Cuando Cubango since 2016 (of 504 with a page). Number 12 in Angola in 2021, of 126.

Burnt area
15,742ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
15days
24 Aug 2021 – 7 Sept 2021
Municipalities hit
2
municipalities
Started on
24 Aug
2021
Heat detections
653
in a single hotspot: 156 MW
Danger at start
45
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
506MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 24 Aug7 Sept
7 Sept 2021

How it evolved, day by day

24 Aug 2021 · 41 MW · 5 25 Aug 2021 · 70 MW · 8 26 Aug 2021 · 58 MW · 9 27 Aug 2021 · 161 MW · 15 28 Aug 2021 · 759 MW · 78 29 Aug 2021 · 709 MW · 115 30 Aug 2021 · 734 MW · 61 31 Aug 2021 · 1,374 MW · 74 1 Sept 2021 · 1,017 MW · 90 2 Sept 2021 · 359 MW · 69 3 Sept 2021 · 212 MW · 29 4 Sept 2021 · 251 MW · 23 5 Sept 2021 · 1,596 MW · 55 6 Sept 2021 · 46 MW · 9 7 Sept 2021 · 201 MW · 13
24 Aug 27 Aug 30 Aug 2 Sept 5 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

35°high
46km/h · peak gust
13%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

74% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 7,429 ha in 2016, 7,431 ha in 2018, 1,011 ha in 2019, 141 ha in 2020. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 11,583 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 9.9% of the area of London (157 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Nancova where it started
    15,266 ha reached on 24 Aug
    1.5 %
  2. 558 ha reached on 24 Aug
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 84 % of the area in Angola

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
24 Aug 32.7 °C 19 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
25 Aug 32.9 °C 21 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
26 Aug 33.4 °C 17 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
27 Aug 33.6 °C 17 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
28 Aug 28.7 °C 15 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
29 Aug 27.4 °C 15 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
30 Aug 31.6 °C 16 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
31 Aug 32.2 °C 16 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
1 Sept 32.6 °C 15 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
2 Sept 32.3 °C 13 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
3 Sept 31.0 °C 17 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
4 Sept 32.1 °C 17 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
5 Sept 33.8 °C 15 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
6 Sept 34.5 °C 16 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
7 Sept 34.7 °C 14 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
8 Sept after 35.0 °C 14 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
9 Sept after 33.7 °C 17 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
10 Sept after 31.8 °C 18 % 56 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65
11 Sept after 30.3 °C 19 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
12 Sept after 30.0 °C 24 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
13 Sept after 31.8 °C 15 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
14 Sept after 34.0 °C 13 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
15 Sept after 34.9 °C 12 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
16 Sept after 35.6 °C 14 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
17 Sept after 34.6 °C 12 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 45.0, a minimum humidity of 19% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 41.

FWI at the start 45.0
Minimum humidity 19 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Nancova fire, September 2022
7,749 ha 10 days FWI 46.8 Min. humidity 18 % 16 km away, in 2022

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

15 days
median duration
7,255 ha
median area
24 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.7 mm
rain at the end (median; 1 of 41 had it)

It was 2.2 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 15 days, against 15 days.

Only 5 of its 41 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 40 of 41, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.7 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
46km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 7 Sept, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 1 of 41, with a median of 2.7 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 17 Aug 2021
After · 14 Sept 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 653Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Angola

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Nancova fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 24 August 2021 to 7 September 2021 (15 days). The perimeter dates it from 26 August 2021 to 7 September 2021.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 15,742 hectares (157.4 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Nancova (15,266 ha, 1.5 %); Mavinga (558 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 34.7 °C, humidity dropped to 13 % and gusts hit 46 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 53, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Angola (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 41. Their median duration was 15 days and their median area 7,255 ha; 24 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 5 of its 41 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 40 of 41, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.7 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Start date: 26 August 2021 → 24 August 2021.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 26 August 2021 to 7 September 2021. 653 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.