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TZ · Tanzania · –

Namtumbo fire, 15 October 2026 Namtumbo

Out · last detection 4 Nov 2026, 11:27 UTC

The fire started on 15 October 2026 in Namtumbo, Tanzania, and satellites saw it burning for 21 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 5,936 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

Number 65 in Tanzania in 2026, of 223.

GWIS near-real-time perimeter, from the layer that changed in August 2025: this fire is not compared with fires from earlier years, because since then the GWIS layer gives more and larger perimeters.

Burnt area
5,936ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
21days
15 Oct 2026 – 4 Nov 2026
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
15 Oct
2026
Heat detections
153
in a single hotspot: 42 MW
Danger at start
14
Moderate · FWI index
Average daily power
75MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 15 Oct4 Nov
4 Nov 2026

How it evolved, day by day

15 Oct 2026 · 2 MW · 2 16 Oct 2026 · 2 MW · 3 17 Oct 2026 · 2 MW · 1 19 Oct 2026 · 49 MW · 11 20 Oct 2026 · 30 MW · 7 21 Oct 2026 · 2 MW · 2 22 Oct 2026 · 144 MW · 31 23 Oct 2026 · 323 MW · 34 24 Oct 2026 · 221 MW · 25 25 Oct 2026 · 60 MW · 7 27 Oct 2026 · 11 MW · 3 28 Oct 2026 · 223 MW · 13 29 Oct 2026 · 115 MW · 7 31 Oct 2026 · 0 MW · 0 2 Nov 2026 · 1 MW · 1 3 Nov 2026 · 3 MW · 2 4 Nov 2026 · 17 MW · 4
15 Oct 20 Oct 23 Oct 29 Oct 4 Nov

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

35°high
43km/h · peak gust
22%lowest humidity

It had gone 0 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

1% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 34 ha in 2022, 46 ha in 2025.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 3.7% of the area of London (59 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Namtumbo where it started
    5,958 ha reached on 15 Oct
    0.3 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · forecast models, provisional until the ERA5 reanalysis arrives

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
15 Oct 29.4 °C 38 % 31 km/h 0.7 mm Moderate 14
16 Oct 30.1 °C 29 % 30 km/h 0.1 mm High 23
17 Oct 28.9 °C 37 % 30 km/h 0.9 mm Moderate 21
18 Oct 26.8 °C 42 % 34 km/h 0.1 mm High 22
19 Oct 28.8 °C 42 % 30 km/h 0.2 mm Moderate 20
20 Oct 32.0 °C 33 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
21 Oct 32.8 °C 33 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
22 Oct 34.2 °C 25 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
23 Oct 34.7 °C 22 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
24 Oct 33.7 °C 24 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
25 Oct 32.7 °C 27 % 40 km/h 0.3 mm Very high 44
26 Oct 31.5 °C 38 % 43 km/h 2.2 mm Moderate 18
27 Oct 31.2 °C 31 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
28 Oct 33.1 °C 28 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
29 Oct 33.8 °C 25 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
30 Oct 30.8 °C 38 % 34 km/h 1.1 mm High 29
31 Oct 30.8 °C 41 % 27 km/h 1.7 mm High 24
1 Nov 29.8 °C 48 % 32 km/h 2.9 mm Moderate 11
2 Nov 31.5 °C 40 % 30 km/h 0.5 mm Moderate 12
3 Nov 31.6 °C 40 % 29 km/h 0.4 mm High 23
4 Nov 31.7 °C 36 % 28 km/h 0.3 mm High 26
5 Nov after 31.4 °C 38 % 33 km/h 0.3 mm High 29
6 Nov after 31.5 °C 35 % 32 km/h 0.2 mm High 29
7 Nov after 32.5 °C 32 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 30

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 8 Oct 2026
After · 6 Nov 2026

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 20 October 2026 the air beside the fire reached 20 µg/m³ of PM2.5, but no daily average passed the WHO guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak20 µg/m³
Days over the guideline0 days
PM1023 µg/m³
Optical depth0.53
13 Oct16 Oct19 Oct22 Oct
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 153Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Tanzania

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Namtumbo fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 15 October 2026 to 4 November 2026 (21 days). The perimeter dates it from 19 October 2026 to 29 October 2026.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 5,936 hectares (59.4 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Namtumbo (5,958 ha, 0.3 %).
Is the Namtumbo fire still active?
No fire detections since 4 Nov 2026, 11:27 UTC. A lack of detections is not an official extinction.
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 34.7 °C, humidity dropped to 22 % and gusts hit 43 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 44, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Tanzania (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 6 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 24 October 2026 → 4 November 2026.
  2. Area: 5,725 → 5,936 ha.
  3. Area: 5,576 → 5,725 ha.
  4. Area: 5,447 → 5,576 ha.
  5. Area: 4,970 → 5,447 ha.
  6. Area: 3,363 → 4,970 ha.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 19 October 2026 to 29 October 2026. 153 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: ECMWF IFS model, provisional until the ERA5 reanalysis arrives.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.