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TZ · Tanzania · –

Namtumbo fire, 24 September 2019 Namtumbo

Out · last detection 30 Sept 2019, 10:55 UTC

The fire started on 24 September 2019 in Namtumbo, Tanzania, and satellites saw it burning for 9 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,366 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 45th largest in Ruvuma since 2016 (of 55 with a page). Number 99 in Tanzania in 2019, of 123.

The power measured by the satellite is low (20.2 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
3,366ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
9days
24 Sept 2019 – 2 Oct 2019
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
24 Sept
2019
Heat detections
95
in a single hotspot: 20 MW
Danger at start
34
High · FWI index
Average daily power
102MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 24 Sept2 Oct
30 Sept 2019

How it evolved, day by day

26 Sept 2019 · 48 MW · 8 27 Sept 2019 · 230 MW · 39 28 Sept 2019 · 118 MW · 28 29 Sept 2019 · 87 MW · 15 30 Sept 2019 · 25 MW · 5
26 Sept 27 Sept 28 Sept 29 Sept 30 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

34°high
44km/h · peak gust
30%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.2 mm on 5 Oct.

This area had burned before

73% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 2,469 ha in 2017.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.1% of the area of London (34 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Namtumbo where it started
    3,377 ha reached on 26 Sept
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 43 % of the area in Tanzania

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
24 Sept 30.9 °C 32 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
25 Sept 30.6 °C 38 % 30 km/h 0.4 mm High 30
26 Sept 27.8 °C 41 % 44 km/h 3.4 mm Low 10
27 Sept 30.2 °C 32 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 25
28 Sept 32.3 °C 32 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
29 Sept 33.6 °C 30 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
30 Sept 32.3 °C 41 % 31 km/h 0.3 mm High 31
1 Oct 32.8 °C 40 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
2 Oct 30.8 °C 48 % 36 km/h 5.3 mm Low 6
3 Oct after 30.6 °C 35 % 36 km/h 0.1 mm Moderate 19
4 Oct after 31.2 °C 34 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
5 Oct after 32.3 °C 32 % 35 km/h 1.2 mm High 25

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 34.3, a minimum humidity of 32% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 23.

FWI at the start 34.3
Minimum humidity 32 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Ulanga fire, October 2021
3,264 ha 3 days FWI 33.8 Min. humidity 32 % 29 km away, in 2021

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 5.2 mm on 26 Oct.

What happened to them

7 days
median duration
4,009 ha
median area
4 %
went past 10,000 ha
1.9 mm
rain at the end (median; 11 of 23 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (3,366 ha against a median of 4,009 ha) and lasted 9 days, against 7 days.

In 12 of 23, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.9 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.2 mmfirst rain
5 Oct3 days after it ended
44km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 2 Oct, and on 5 Oct 1.2 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 11 of 23, with a median of 1.9 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 17 Sept 2019
After · 9 Oct 2019

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 95Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Tanzania

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Namtumbo fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 24 September 2019 to 2 October 2019 (9 days). The perimeter dates it from 26 September 2019 to 30 September 2019.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,366 hectares (33.7 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Namtumbo (3,377 ha, 0.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 33.6 °C, humidity dropped to 30 % and gusts hit 44 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 34, class High.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Tanzania (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 23. Their median duration was 7 days and their median area 4,009 ha; 4 % went past 10,000 ha. In 12 of 23, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.9 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 30 September 2019 → 2 October 2019.
  2. Start date: 26 September 2019 → 24 September 2019.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 26 September 2019 to 30 September 2019. 95 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.