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MZ · Mozambique · –

Namarrói fire, 2 October 2021 Namarrói

Out · last detection 15 Oct 2021, 11:06 UTC

The fire started on 2 October 2021 in Namarrói, Mozambique, and satellites saw it burning for 14 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,071 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 531th largest in Zambézia since 2016 (of 564 with a page). Number 222 in Mozambique in 2021, of 233.

Burnt area
3,071ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
14days
2 Oct 2021 – 15 Oct 2021
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
2 Oct
2021
Heat detections
89
in a single hotspot: 68 MW
Danger at start
29
High · FWI index
Average daily power
78MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 2 Oct15 Oct
15 Oct 2021

How it evolved, day by day

2 Oct 2021 · 1 MW · 1 3 Oct 2021 · 13 MW · 2 4 Oct 2021 · 22 MW · 10 5 Oct 2021 · 23 MW · 3 6 Oct 2021 · 48 MW · 5 7 Oct 2021 · 59 MW · 7 8 Oct 2021 · 375 MW · 30 9 Oct 2021 · 178 MW · 17 10 Oct 2021 · 70 MW · 7 14 Oct 2021 · 21 MW · 3 15 Oct 2021 · 46 MW · 4
2 Oct 5 Oct 8 Oct 14 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

33°high
55km/h · peak gust
20%lowest humidity

It had gone 9 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 2.3 mm on 20 Oct.

This area had burned before

94% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,827 ha in 2016, 971 ha in 2017, 1,823 ha in 2018, 1,194 ha in 2019, 2,652 ha in 2020. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 2,883 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.9% of the area of London (31 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Namarrói where it started
    3,089 ha reached on 2 Oct
    1.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area7.9 ha
Residents≈ 850

Inside the perimeter there were about 7.9 hectares of built-up land and about 850 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
2 Oct 31.3 °C 29 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
3 Oct 32.8 °C 29 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
4 Oct 30.7 °C 36 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
5 Oct 30.1 °C 31 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
6 Oct 29.9 °C 32 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
7 Oct 27.3 °C 35 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
8 Oct 26.2 °C 32 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
9 Oct 30.6 °C 20 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
10 Oct 32.6 °C 21 % 55 km/h 0.3 mm Very high 49
11 Oct 24.0 °C 53 % 44 km/h 5.0 mm Low 6
12 Oct 23.5 °C 43 % 38 km/h 2.2 mm Low 6
13 Oct 27.5 °C 34 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 14
14 Oct 30.6 °C 27 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 25
15 Oct 33.1 °C 23 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
16 Oct after 33.3 °C 25 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
17 Oct after 33.2 °C 27 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
18 Oct after 32.4 °C 29 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
19 Oct after 30.5 °C 25 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
20 Oct after 24.1 °C 61 % 38 km/h 2.3 mm Low 7

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 29.2, a minimum humidity of 29% and 9 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 17.

FWI at the start 29.2
Minimum humidity 29 %
Days without rain 9
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Lugela fire, September 2016
6,394 ha 23 days FWI 29.2 Min. humidity 28 % 69 km away, in 2016

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 8.2 mm on 3 Oct.

What happened to them

14 days
median duration
3,977 ha
median area
12 %
went past 10,000 ha
4.0 mm
rain at the end (median; 12 of 17 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (3,071 ha against a median of 3,977 ha) and lasted 14 days, against 14 days.

In 5 of 17, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 4.0 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

2.3 mmfirst rain
20 Oct5 days after it ended
55km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 15 Oct, and on 20 Oct 2.3 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 12 of 17, with a median of 4.0 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 25 Sept 2021
After · 22 Oct 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 89Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Mozambique

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Namarrói fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 2 October 2021 to 15 October 2021 (14 days). The perimeter dates it from 2 October 2021 to 10 October 2021.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,071 hectares (30.7 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Namarrói (3,089 ha, 1.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 33.1 °C, humidity dropped to 20 % and gusts hit 55 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 49, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Mozambique (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 17. Their median duration was 14 days and their median area 3,977 ha; 12 % went past 10,000 ha. In 5 of 17, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 4.0 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 10 October 2021 → 15 October 2021.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 2 October 2021 to 10 October 2021. 89 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.