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SS · South Sudan · –

Nagero fire, 19 December 2019 Tambura, Nagero, Wau

Out · last detection 24 Jan 2020, 11:24 UTC

The fire started on 19 December 2019 in Nagero, South Sudan, and satellites saw it burning for 37 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 59,387 hectares from heat detections, spread across 3 municipalities.

It is the 13th largest in Western Equatoria since 2016 (of 299 with a page). Number 6 in South Sudan in 2019, of 150.

Compare with…
Burnt area
59,387ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
37days
19 Dec 2019 – 24 Jan 2020
Municipalities hit
3
counties
Started on
19 Dec
2019
Heat detections
3,274
in a single hotspot: 286 MW
Danger at start
40
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
1.1GW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 19 Dec24 Jan
24 Jan 2020

How it evolved, day by day

19 Dec 2019 · 2,490 MW · 73 20 Dec 2019 · 1,262 MW · 73 21 Dec 2019 · 275 MW · 29 22 Dec 2019 · 1,023 MW · 70 23 Dec 2019 · 596 MW · 41 24 Dec 2019 · 1,359 MW · 110 25 Dec 2019 · 1,366 MW · 91 26 Dec 2019 · 626 MW · 102 27 Dec 2019 · 1,563 MW · 97 28 Dec 2019 · 2,071 MW · 159 29 Dec 2019 · 4,288 MW · 416 30 Dec 2019 · 4,795 MW · 305 31 Dec 2019 · 1,939 MW · 169 1 Jan 2020 · 2,712 MW · 213 2 Jan 2020 · 7,341 MW · 272 3 Jan 2020 · 334 MW · 70 4 Jan 2020 · 24 MW · 29 5 Jan 2020 · 483 MW · 61 6 Jan 2020 · 522 MW · 42 7 Jan 2020 · 1,006 MW · 77 8 Jan 2020 · 350 MW · 77 9 Jan 2020 · 290 MW · 81 10 Jan 2020 · 520 MW · 109 11 Jan 2020 · 235 MW · 78 12 Jan 2020 · 701 MW · 51 13 Jan 2020 · 1,039 MW · 131 14 Jan 2020 · 562 MW · 68 15 Jan 2020 · 143 MW · 52 16 Jan 2020 · 590 MW · 34 17 Jan 2020 · 95 MW · 20 18 Jan 2020 · 42 MW · 11 19 Jan 2020 · 16 MW · 5 20 Jan 2020 · 1 MW · 1 21 Jan 2020 · 9 MW · 7 22 Jan 2020 · 1,571 MW · 42 23 Jan 2020 · 4 MW · 1 24 Jan 2020 · 28 MW · 7
19 Dec 27 Dec 2 Jan 12 Jan 20 Jan

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

38°high
39km/h · peak gust
9%lowest humidity

It had gone 22 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

71% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 35,991 ha in 2016, 18,474 ha in 2017, 9,981 ha in 2018. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 42,398 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 38% of the area of London (594 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. 30,728 ha reached on 20 Dec
    2.4 %
  2. Nagero where it started
    28,652 ha reached on 19 Dec
    3.1 %
  3. Wau
    496 ha reached on 19 Dec
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
19 Dec 34.1 °C 19 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
20 Dec 34.6 °C 20 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
21 Dec 35.0 °C 20 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
22 Dec 35.4 °C 19 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
23 Dec 36.1 °C 17 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
24 Dec 35.6 °C 22 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
25 Dec 36.2 °C 18 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
26 Dec 34.8 °C 12 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
27 Dec 34.1 °C 11 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
28 Dec 33.2 °C 11 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
29 Dec 34.3 °C 10 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
30 Dec 35.7 °C 10 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
31 Dec 35.5 °C 14 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
1 Jan 36.1 °C 17 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
2 Jan 37.4 °C 17 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
3 Jan 37.1 °C 17 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
4 Jan 34.7 °C 16 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
5 Jan 32.8 °C 16 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
6 Jan 33.9 °C 15 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
7 Jan 34.6 °C 16 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
8 Jan 35.4 °C 13 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
9 Jan 34.1 °C 12 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
10 Jan 33.8 °C 13 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
11 Jan 32.7 °C 11 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
12 Jan 31.6 °C 9 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
13 Jan 33.1 °C 9 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
14 Jan 35.7 °C 12 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
15 Jan 37.3 °C 11 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
16 Jan 37.5 °C 14 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
17 Jan 38.1 °C 12 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
18 Jan 35.3 °C 13 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
19 Jan 33.4 °C 14 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
20 Jan 32.9 °C 14 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
21 Jan 33.0 °C 13 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
22 Jan 32.2 °C 10 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
23 Jan 31.3 °C 10 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
24 Jan 31.3 °C 10 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
25 Jan after 31.9 °C 11 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
26 Jan after 33.0 °C 12 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
27 Jan after 34.5 °C 12 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
28 Jan after 36.1 °C 11 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
29 Jan after 35.5 °C 10 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
30 Jan after 35.1 °C 11 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
31 Jan after 34.6 °C 10 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
1 Feb after 35.5 °C 11 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
2 Feb after 36.1 °C 13 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
3 Feb after 36.8 °C 11 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 40.4, a minimum humidity of 19% and 22 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 43.

FWI at the start 40.4
Minimum humidity 19 %
Days without rain 22
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Ezo fire, December 2023
7,629 ha 9 days FWI 39.7 Min. humidity 19 % 126 km away, in 2023

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

16 days
median duration
7,121 ha
median area
26 %
went past 10,000 ha
1.0 mm
rain at the end (median; 2 of 43 had it)

It was 8.3 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 37 days, against 16 days.

None of its 43 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 41 of 43, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.0 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
39km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 24 Jan, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 2 of 43, with a median of 1.0 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 12 Dec 2019
After · 31 Jan 2020

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 3,274Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in South Sudan

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Nagero fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 19 December 2019 to 24 January 2020 (37 days). The perimeter dates it from 19 December 2019 to 17 January 2020.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 59,387 hectares (593.9 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 3 municipalities: Tambura (30,728 ha, 2.4 %); Nagero (28,652 ha, 3.1 %); Wau (496 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 38.1 °C, humidity dropped to 9 % and gusts hit 39 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 58, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of South Sudan (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 43. Their median duration was 16 days and their median area 7,121 ha; 26 % went past 10,000 ha. None of its 43 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 41 of 43, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.0 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 17 January 2020 → 24 January 2020.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery; 2 polygons grouped in this page.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 19 December 2019 to 17 January 2020. 3,274 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.