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ZM · Zambia · –

Mungwi fire, 10 September 2024 Mungwi, Senga Hill

Out · last detection 14 Sept 2024, 11:39 UTC

The fire started on 10 September 2024 in Mungwi, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 5 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,185 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 406th largest in Northern since 2016 (of 443 with a page). Number 147 in Zambia in 2024, of 160.

Compare with…
Burnt area
3,185ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
5days
10 Sept 2024 – 14 Sept 2024
Municipalities hit
2
districts
Started on
10 Sept
2024
Heat detections
102
in a single hotspot: 45 MW
Danger at start
36
High · FWI index
Average daily power
612MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 10 Sept14 Sept
14 Sept 2024

How it evolved, day by day

12 Sept 2024 · 1,783 MW · 94 13 Sept 2024 · 30 MW · 6 14 Sept 2024 · 23 MW · 2
12 Sept 13 Sept 14 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

33°high
45km/h · peak gust
14%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

98% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,482 ha in 2017, 1,540 ha in 2018, 1,106 ha in 2019, 1,811 ha in 2020, 2,594 ha in 2021, 1,812 ha in 2022, 725 ha in 2023. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 3,123 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2% of the area of London (32 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Mungwi where it started
    3,139 ha reached on 12 Sept
    0.3 %
  2. 62 ha reached on 12 Sept
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area4.9 ha
Residents≈ 550

Inside the perimeter there were about 4.9 hectares of built-up land and about 550 residents (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 91 % of the area in Zambia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
10 Sept 31.2 °C 26 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
11 Sept 31.7 °C 19 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
12 Sept 31.2 °C 22 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
13 Sept 32.6 °C 14 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
14 Sept 31.4 °C 16 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
15 Sept after 30.6 °C 17 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
16 Sept after 31.4 °C 21 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
17 Sept after 31.7 °C 23 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
18 Sept after 31.8 °C 23 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
19 Sept after 32.3 °C 23 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
20 Sept after 33.1 °C 24 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
21 Sept after 32.2 °C 25 % 37 km/h 0.3 mm Very high 47
22 Sept after 30.6 °C 20 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
23 Sept after 28.6 °C 32 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
24 Sept after 28.4 °C 33 % 40 km/h 0.5 mm Very high 39

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 36.5, a minimum humidity of 26% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 29.

FWI at the start 36.5
Minimum humidity 26 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Mungwi fire, September 2016
10,636 ha 11 days FWI 36.2 Min. humidity 26 % 48 km away, in 2016

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

15 days
median duration
4,260 ha
median area
17 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.2 mm
rain at the end (median; 4 of 29 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (3,185 ha against a median of 4,260 ha) and lasted 5 days, against 15 days.

In 25 of 29, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.2 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
45km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 14 Sept, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 4 of 29, with a median of 2.2 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 3 Sept 2024
After · 21 Sept 2024

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 17 September 2024 the air beside the fire reached 36 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 20: 1.4 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak36 µg/m³
Days over the guideline2 days
PM1052 µg/m³
Optical depth0.69
10 Sept12 Sept14 Sept16 Sept
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 102Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mungwi fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 10 September 2024 to 14 September 2024 (5 days). The perimeter dates it from 12 September 2024 to 14 September 2024.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,185 hectares (31.8 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Mungwi (3,139 ha, 0.3 %); Senga Hill (62 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 32.6 °C, humidity dropped to 14 % and gusts hit 45 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 48, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 29. Their median duration was 15 days and their median area 4,260 ha; 17 % went past 10,000 ha. In 25 of 29, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.2 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Start date: 12 September 2024 → 10 September 2024.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 12 September 2024 to 14 September 2024. 102 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.