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ZM · Zambia · –

Mungwi fire, 1 September 2021 Mungwi

Out · last detection 20 Sept 2021, 12:17 UTC

The fire started on 1 September 2021 in Mungwi, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 20 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 5,303 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 162th largest in Northern since 2016 (of 443 with a page). Number 74 in Zambia in 2021, of 213.

Burnt area
5,303ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
20days
1 Sept 2021 – 20 Sept 2021
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
1 Sept
2021
Heat detections
194
in a single hotspot: 117 MW
Danger at start
41
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
174MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 1 Sept20 Sept
20 Sept 2021

How it evolved, day by day

1 Sept 2021 · 15 MW · 1 3 Sept 2021 · 42 MW · 4 4 Sept 2021 · 1 MW · 1 6 Sept 2021 · 56 MW · 5 7 Sept 2021 · 1,217 MW · 49 8 Sept 2021 · 157 MW · 18 9 Sept 2021 · 446 MW · 40 10 Sept 2021 · 4 MW · 5 11 Sept 2021 · 77 MW · 7 12 Sept 2021 · 210 MW · 22 13 Sept 2021 · 19 MW · 4 14 Sept 2021 · 427 MW · 19 15 Sept 2021 · 211 MW · 11 16 Sept 2021 · 3 MW · 1 17 Sept 2021 · 50 MW · 4 18 Sept 2021 · 9 MW · 1 20 Sept 2021 · 7 MW · 2
1 Sept 7 Sept 11 Sept 15 Sept 20 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

33°high
51km/h · peak gust
20%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

80% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,550 ha in 2016, 1,612 ha in 2017, 1,809 ha in 2018, 2,982 ha in 2019, 2,085 ha in 2020. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 4,233 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 3.3% of the area of London (53 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Mungwi where it started
    5,336 ha reached on 1 Sept
    0.5 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area4.6 ha
Residents≈ 500

Inside the perimeter there were about 4.6 hectares of built-up land and about 500 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 91 % of the area in Zambia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
1 Sept 29.9 °C 23 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
2 Sept 30.0 °C 23 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
3 Sept 29.6 °C 22 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
4 Sept 29.6 °C 23 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
5 Sept 29.6 °C 22 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
6 Sept 30.0 °C 24 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
7 Sept 30.0 °C 28 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
8 Sept 30.6 °C 27 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
9 Sept 30.0 °C 25 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
10 Sept 26.4 °C 31 % 51 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
11 Sept 24.4 °C 35 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
12 Sept 28.5 °C 27 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
13 Sept 29.7 °C 30 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
14 Sept 30.8 °C 28 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
15 Sept 31.1 °C 27 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
16 Sept 33.0 °C 25 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
17 Sept 33.0 °C 25 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
18 Sept 31.7 °C 20 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
19 Sept 29.5 °C 27 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
20 Sept 30.1 °C 25 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
21 Sept after 31.8 °C 25 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
22 Sept after 30.5 °C 20 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
23 Sept after 29.3 °C 28 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
24 Sept after 29.2 °C 27 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
25 Sept after 31.0 °C 21 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
26 Sept after 30.7 °C 25 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
27 Sept after 30.5 °C 27 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
28 Sept after 32.2 °C 28 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
29 Sept after 32.2 °C 26 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
30 Sept after 33.8 °C 20 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 40.6, a minimum humidity of 23% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 65.

FWI at the start 40.6
Minimum humidity 23 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Mungwi fire, September 2017
6,165 ha 11 days FWI 42.4 Min. humidity 23 % 12 km away, in 2017

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

14 days
median duration
4,459 ha
median area
14 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.4 mm
rain at the end (median; 5 of 65 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (5,303 ha against a median of 4,459 ha) and lasted 20 days, against 14 days.

In 60 of 65, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.4 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
51km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 20 Sept, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 5 of 65, with a median of 2.4 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 25 Aug 2021
After · 27 Sept 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 194Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mungwi fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 1 September 2021 to 20 September 2021 (20 days). The perimeter dates it from 6 September 2021 to 15 September 2021.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 5,303 hectares (53.0 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Mungwi (5,336 ha, 0.5 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 33.0 °C, humidity dropped to 20 % and gusts hit 51 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 46, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 65. Their median duration was 14 days and their median area 4,459 ha; 14 % went past 10,000 ha. In 60 of 65, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.4 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 15 September 2021 → 20 September 2021.
  2. Start date: 6 September 2021 → 1 September 2021.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 6 September 2021 to 15 September 2021. 194 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.