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Mpika fire, 4 September 2026 Mpika

Out · last detection 20 Sept 2026, 11:49 UTC

The fire started on 4 September 2026 in Mpika, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 17 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 7,478 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 142th largest in Muchinga since 2016 (of 517 with a page). Number 126 in Zambia in 2026, of 613.

Compare with…

Suggestions: Mpika · 2025Mpika · 2026

Burnt area
7,478ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
17days
4 Sept 2026 – 20 Sept 2026
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
4 Sept
2026
Heat detections
172
in a single hotspot: 32 MW
Danger at start
26
High · FWI index
Average daily power
83MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 4 Sept20 Sept
20 Sept 2026

How it evolved, day by day

4 Sept 2026 · 43 MW · 7 5 Sept 2026 · 20 MW · 3 7 Sept 2026 · 6 MW · 2 10 Sept 2026 · 5 MW · 1 11 Sept 2026 · 158 MW · 21 12 Sept 2026 · 67 MW · 15 13 Sept 2026 · 169 MW · 19 14 Sept 2026 · 106 MW · 19 15 Sept 2026 · 115 MW · 24 16 Sept 2026 · 143 MW · 21 17 Sept 2026 · 97 MW · 10 18 Sept 2026 · 132 MW · 11 19 Sept 2026 · 92 MW · 16 20 Sept 2026 · 13 MW · 3
4 Sept 7 Sept 11 Sept 13 Sept 15 Sept 17 Sept 19 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

29°high
53km/h · peak gust
29%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.3 mm on 22 Sept.

This area had burned before

24% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 116 ha in 2016, 768 ha in 2018, 832 ha in 2021, 650 ha in 2025. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 1,821 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 4.7% of the area of London (75 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Mpika where it started
    7,526 ha reached on 4 Sept
    0.4 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area0.52 ha
Residents≈ 60

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.52 hectares of built-up land and about 60 residents (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
4 Sept 29.2 °C 33 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
5 Sept 28.0 °C 40 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
6 Sept 26.6 °C 43 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
7 Sept 25.9 °C 43 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
8 Sept 24.2 °C 40 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
9 Sept 21.8 °C 51 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
10 Sept 24.7 °C 43 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
11 Sept 26.6 °C 40 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
12 Sept 27.5 °C 34 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
13 Sept 27.2 °C 35 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
14 Sept 27.6 °C 35 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
15 Sept 27.7 °C 34 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
16 Sept 27.2 °C 29 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
17 Sept 26.8 °C 33 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
18 Sept 27.1 °C 37 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
19 Sept 27.3 °C 39 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
20 Sept 27.6 °C 40 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
21 Sept after 27.2 °C 42 % 38 km/h 0.4 mm High 30
22 Sept after 20.7 °C 65 % 42 km/h 1.3 mm Moderate 11

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 28 Aug 2026
After · 27 Sept 2026

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 17 September 2026 the air beside the fire reached 51 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 27: 1.8 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak51 µg/m³
Days over the guideline20 days
PM1054 µg/m³
Optical depth0.89
234567891011121314151617181920212223
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 172Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mpika fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 4 September 2026 to 20 September 2026 (17 days). The perimeter dates it from 11 September 2026 to 20 September 2026.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 7,478 hectares (74.8 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Mpika (7,526 ha, 0.4 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 29.2 °C, humidity dropped to 29 % and gusts hit 53 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 34, class High.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

No changes since 24 October 2026.

RSS Changes to this page

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery; 2 polygons grouped in this page.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 11 September 2026 to 20 September 2026. 172 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology ›

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.