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Mpika fire, 11 September 2024 Mpika

Out · last detection 20 Sept 2024, 22:32 UTC

The fire started on 11 September 2024 in Mpika, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 10 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,201 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 463th largest in Muchinga since 2016 (of 513 with a page). Number 146 in Zambia in 2024, of 160.

The power measured by the satellite is low (28.7 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
3,201ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
10days
11 Sept 2024 – 20 Sept 2024
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
11 Sept
2024
Heat detections
127
in a single hotspot: 29 MW
Danger at start
33
High · FWI index
Energy released
1.3GW
sum of detected power

Where it burned

20 Sept 2024
HOTSPOTS BY DAY 11 Sept20 Sept

How it evolved, day by day

11121314151617181920

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

31°high
51km/h · peak gust
22%lowest humidity

It had gone 9 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 3.3 mm on 23 Sept.

This area had burned before

92% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,134 ha in 2016, 1,127 ha in 2017, 1,543 ha in 2018, 1,175 ha in 2019, 787 ha in 2020, 629 ha in 2021, 1,819 ha in 2022, 375 ha in 2023. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 2,933 ha that had burned before.

What happened to each town

  1. Mpika where it started
    3,219 ha reached on 11 Sept
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance is from the town centre to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
11 Sept 27.2 °C 33 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
12 Sept 27.2 °C 32 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
13 Sept 28.5 °C 24 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
14 Sept 28.5 °C 23 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
15 Sept 28.1 °C 22 % 51 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
16 Sept 28.7 °C 22 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
17 Sept 29.0 °C 26 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
18 Sept 29.2 °C 25 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
19 Sept 30.5 °C 25 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
20 Sept 30.8 °C 28 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
21 Sept after 29.2 °C 25 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
22 Sept after 26.7 °C 30 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
23 Sept after 24.3 °C 51 % 49 km/h 3.3 mm Low 9

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 4 Sept 2024
After · 27 Sept 2024

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 19 September 2024 the air beside the fire reached 36 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 27: 1.8 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak36 µg/m³
Days over the guideline7 days
PM1052 µg/m³
Optical depth0.76
91011121314151617181920212223
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 127Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mpika fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 11 September 2024 and 20 September 2024: 10 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,201 hectares (32.0 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Mpika (3,219 ha, 0.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 30.8 °C, humidity dropped to 22 % and gusts hit 51 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 42, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.