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Mpika fire, 3 October 2022 Mpika

Out · last detection 15 Oct 2022, 12:04 UTC

The fire started on 3 October 2022 in Mpika, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 12 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 10,191 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 91th largest in Muchinga since 2016 (of 516 with a page). Number 32 in Zambia in 2022, of 235.

Compare with…
Burnt area
10,191ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
12days
3 Oct 2022 – 14 Oct 2022
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
3 Oct
2022
Heat detections
389
in a single hotspot: 76 MW
Danger at start
45
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
203MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 3 Oct14 Oct
15 Oct 2022

How it evolved, day by day

3 Oct 2022 · 35 MW · 15 4 Oct 2022 · 458 MW · 48 5 Oct 2022 · 115 MW · 16 6 Oct 2022 · 216 MW · 28 7 Oct 2022 · 116 MW · 19 8 Oct 2022 · 193 MW · 35 9 Oct 2022 · 539 MW · 43 10 Oct 2022 · 41 MW · 23 11 Oct 2022 · 16 MW · 14 12 Oct 2022 · 335 MW · 53 13 Oct 2022 · 444 MW · 60 14 Oct 2022 · 100 MW · 21 15 Oct 2022 · 30 MW · 4
3 Oct 5 Oct 7 Oct 9 Oct 11 Oct 13 Oct 15 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

37°high
42km/h · peak gust
12%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

83% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,523 ha in 2016, 5,456 ha in 2017, 1,251 ha in 2018, 4,949 ha in 2020, 2,229 ha in 2021. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 8,485 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 6.4% of the area of London (102 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Mpika where it started
    10,261 ha reached on 2 Oct
    0.6 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
3 Oct 34.5 °C 22 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
4 Oct 36.4 °C 21 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
5 Oct 36.8 °C 13 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
6 Oct 36.8 °C 13 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
7 Oct 35.5 °C 18 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
8 Oct 35.5 °C 14 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
9 Oct 33.5 °C 16 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
10 Oct 35.7 °C 18 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
11 Oct 35.4 °C 17 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
12 Oct 35.1 °C 17 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
13 Oct 36.1 °C 15 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
14 Oct 36.3 °C 12 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
15 Oct after 35.9 °C 15 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
16 Oct after 36.1 °C 17 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
17 Oct after 36.6 °C 16 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
18 Oct after 36.5 °C 17 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
19 Oct after 37.3 °C 18 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
20 Oct after 35.1 °C 20 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
21 Oct after 37.2 °C 17 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
22 Oct after 36.4 °C 20 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
23 Oct after 37.1 °C 20 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
24 Oct after 37.2 °C 21 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 26 Sept 2022
After · 21 Oct 2022

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 389Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mpika fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 3 October 2022 and 14 October 2022: 12 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 10,191 hectares (101.9 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Mpika (10,261 ha, 0.6 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 36.8 °C, humidity dropped to 12 % and gusts hit 42 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 60, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

No changes since 24 October 2026.

RSS Changes to this page

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 389 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology ›

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.