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Mpika fire, 24 October 2021 Mpika, Lavushimanda

Out · last detection 28 Oct 2021, 12:04 UTC

The fire started on 24 October 2021 in Mpika, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 5 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,452 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 416th largest in Muchinga since 2016 (of 517 with a page). Number 170 in Zambia in 2021, of 213.

Compare with…
Burnt area
3,452ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
5days
24 Oct 2021 – 28 Oct 2021
Municipalities hit
2
districts
Started on
24 Oct
2021
Heat detections
85
in a single hotspot: 58 MW
Danger at start
43
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
171MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 24 Oct28 Oct
28 Oct 2021

How it evolved, day by day

24 Oct 2021 · 344 MW · 36 25 Oct 2021 · 37 MW · 7 26 Oct 2021 · 391 MW · 31 27 Oct 2021 · 69 MW · 5 28 Oct 2021 · 16 MW · 2
24 Oct 25 Oct 26 Oct 27 Oct 28 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

38°high
49km/h · peak gust
20%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

58% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,028 ha in 2016, 697 ha in 2018, 713 ha in 2019. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 2,007 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.2% of the area of London (35 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Mpika where it started
    3,265 ha reached on 24 Oct
    0.2 %
  2. 214 ha reached on 24 Oct
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
24 Oct 38.2 °C 20 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
25 Oct 37.0 °C 20 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
26 Oct 35.8 °C 23 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
27 Oct 35.3 °C 32 % 49 km/h 0.3 mm Very high 42
28 Oct 31.9 °C 45 % 42 km/h 1.1 mm High 23
29 Oct after 33.2 °C 32 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
30 Oct after 36.2 °C 25 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
31 Oct after 38.4 °C 21 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
1 Nov after 37.6 °C 26 % 36 km/h 0.2 mm Extreme 52
2 Nov after 37.8 °C 24 % 35 km/h 0.2 mm Very high 41
3 Nov after 37.1 °C 26 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
4 Nov after 38.3 °C 24 % 37 km/h 0.2 mm Very high 44
5 Nov after 38.2 °C 22 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
6 Nov after 37.1 °C 20 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
7 Nov after 37.4 °C 19 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 17 Oct 2021
After · 4 Nov 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 85Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mpika fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 24 October 2021 and 28 October 2021: 5 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,452 hectares (34.5 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Mpika (3,265 ha, 0.2 %); Lavushimanda (214 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 38.2 °C, humidity dropped to 20 % and gusts hit 49 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 48, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

No changes since 24 October 2026.

RSS Changes to this page

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 85 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology ›

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.