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MZ · Mozambique · –

Mogovolas fire, September 2018 Murrupula, Mogovolas

Out · last detection 6 Oct 2018, 11:25 UTC

The fire started on 27 September 2018 in Mogovolas, Mozambique, and satellites saw it burning for 10 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,374 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 209th largest in Nampula since 2016 (of 269 with a page). Number 163 in Mozambique in 2018, of 220.

Compare with…
Burnt area
3,374ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
10days
27 Sept 2018 – 6 Oct 2018
Municipalities hit
2
districts
Started on
27 Sept
2018
Heat detections
105
in a single hotspot: 32 MW
Danger at start
46
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
139MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 27 Sept6 Oct
6 Oct 2018

How it evolved, day by day

27 Sept 2018 · 57 MW · 6 28 Sept 2018 · 540 MW · 53 29 Sept 2018 · 317 MW · 39 30 Sept 2018 · 30 MW · 3 3 Oct 2018 · 15 MW · 2 5 Oct 2018 · 5 MW · 1 6 Oct 2018 · 10 MW · 1
28 Sept 3 Oct 6 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

34°high
52km/h · peak gust
27%lowest humidity

It had gone 16 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

1% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 20 ha in 2016.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.1% of the area of London (34 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. 3,362 ha
    1.1 %
  2. Mogovolas where it started
    31 ha
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
27 Sept 33.7 °C 30 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
28 Sept 33.5 °C 27 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
29 Sept 33.7 °C 29 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
30 Sept 30.0 °C 45 % 52 km/h 2.9 mm Very high 48
1 Oct 29.4 °C 57 % 46 km/h 5.4 mm Moderate 13
2 Oct 29.0 °C 51 % 30 km/h 2.5 mm Low 6
3 Oct 32.3 °C 33 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
4 Oct 32.2 °C 32 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
5 Oct 29.0 °C 45 % 34 km/h 0.7 mm High 25
6 Oct 28.9 °C 39 % 37 km/h 0.2 mm High 27
7 Oct after 28.6 °C 43 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
8 Oct after 28.3 °C 47 % 44 km/h 0.3 mm High 30
9 Oct after 29.7 °C 46 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
10 Oct after 30.3 °C 48 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 20
11 Oct after 31.7 °C 41 % 48 km/h 0.8 mm High 36
12 Oct after 32.1 °C 38 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 25
13 Oct after 33.7 °C 33 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
14 Oct after 33.5 °C 34 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
15 Oct after 34.0 °C 35 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
16 Oct after 36.5 °C 25 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 46.4, a minimum humidity of 30% and 16 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 33.

FWI at the start 46.4
Minimum humidity 30 %
Days without rain 16
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Gilé fire, September 2022
7,914 ha 22 days FWI 46.1 Min. humidity 31 % 53 km away, in 2022

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

13 days
median duration
4,197 ha
median area
6 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.2 mm
rain at the end (median; 21 of 33 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (3,374 ha against a median of 4,197 ha) and lasted 10 days, against 13 days.

In 12 of 33, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.2 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
52km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 6 Oct, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 21 of 33, with a median of 2.2 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 20 Sept 2018
After · 13 Oct 2018

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 105Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Mozambique

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mogovolas fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 27 September 2018 to 6 October 2018 (10 days). The perimeter dates it from 27 September 2018 to 29 September 2018.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,374 hectares (33.7 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Murrupula (3,362 ha, 1.1 %); Mogovolas (31 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 33.7 °C, humidity dropped to 27 % and gusts hit 52 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 49, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Mozambique (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 33. Their median duration was 13 days and their median area 4,197 ha; 6 % went past 10,000 ha. In 12 of 33, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.2 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Name: Murrupula → Mogovolas.
  2. Last day with fire: 29 September 2018 → 6 October 2018.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 27 September 2018 to 29 September 2018. 105 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.