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MZ · Mozambique · –

Mocuba fire, 13 September 2021 Mocuba

Out · last detection 17 Oct 2021, 23:18 UTC

The fire started on 13 September 2021 in Mocuba, Mozambique, and satellites saw it burning for 35 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 15,880 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 54th largest in Zambézia since 2016 (of 564 with a page). Number 8 in Mozambique in 2021, of 233.

Compare with…
Burnt area
15,880ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
35days
13 Sept 2021 – 17 Oct 2021
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
13 Sept
2021
Heat detections
1,525
in a single hotspot: 159 MW
Danger at start
22
High · FWI index
Average daily power
558MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 13 Sept17 Oct
17 Oct 2021

How it evolved, day by day

13 Sept 2021 · 65 MW · 9 14 Sept 2021 · 2,158 MW · 156 15 Sept 2021 · 1,040 MW · 87 16 Sept 2021 · 812 MW · 85 17 Sept 2021 · 1,609 MW · 116 20 Sept 2021 · 297 MW · 44 21 Sept 2021 · 666 MW · 72 22 Sept 2021 · 131 MW · 10 24 Sept 2021 · 93 MW · 19 25 Sept 2021 · 620 MW · 65 26 Sept 2021 · 3,526 MW · 231 27 Sept 2021 · 47 MW · 54 28 Sept 2021 · 1,963 MW · 200 29 Sept 2021 · 1,176 MW · 117 30 Sept 2021 · 39 MW · 6 1 Oct 2021 · 117 MW · 21 2 Oct 2021 · 141 MW · 23 3 Oct 2021 · 647 MW · 57 4 Oct 2021 · 212 MW · 20 5 Oct 2021 · 140 MW · 17 6 Oct 2021 · 24 MW · 5 7 Oct 2021 · 76 MW · 6 8 Oct 2021 · 113 MW · 19 9 Oct 2021 · 91 MW · 12 10 Oct 2021 · 388 MW · 18 13 Oct 2021 · 69 MW · 9 14 Oct 2021 · 132 MW · 8 15 Oct 2021 · 118 MW · 13 16 Oct 2021 · 98 MW · 13 17 Oct 2021 · 135 MW · 13
13 Sept 26 Sept 4 Oct 10 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

38°high
56km/h · peak gust
18%lowest humidity

It had gone one day without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 4.4 mm on 20 Oct.

This area had burned before

97% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 11,515 ha in 2016, 5,686 ha in 2017, 12,608 ha in 2018, 9,804 ha in 2019, 14,107 ha in 2020. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 15,472 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 10% of the area of London (159 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Mocuba where it started
    16,710 ha reached on 13 Sept
    1.9 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area5.5 ha
Residents≈ 1,400

Inside the perimeter there were about 5.5 hectares of built-up land and about 1,400 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
13 Sept 30.6 °C 35 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 22
14 Sept 33.9 °C 19 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
15 Sept 34.7 °C 19 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
16 Sept 35.4 °C 23 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
17 Sept 37.0 °C 25 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
18 Sept 26.3 °C 64 % 44 km/h 2.4 mm Low 8
19 Sept 26.3 °C 41 % 34 km/h 0.9 mm Moderate 13
20 Sept 28.4 °C 26 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm High 23
21 Sept 33.0 °C 24 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
22 Sept 27.5 °C 44 % 35 km/h 0.8 mm Moderate 20
23 Sept 26.9 °C 48 % 32 km/h 0.8 mm Moderate 15
24 Sept 27.5 °C 44 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 20
25 Sept 30.3 °C 38 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
26 Sept 32.0 °C 33 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
27 Sept 33.3 °C 26 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
28 Sept 35.0 °C 22 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
29 Sept 36.3 °C 22 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
30 Sept 33.2 °C 34 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
1 Oct 32.1 °C 35 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
2 Oct 34.3 °C 29 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
3 Oct 37.5 °C 25 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
4 Oct 33.7 °C 36 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
5 Oct 32.7 °C 34 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
6 Oct 32.0 °C 38 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
7 Oct 29.4 °C 40 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
8 Oct 29.5 °C 32 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
9 Oct 34.1 °C 18 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
10 Oct 36.3 °C 20 % 56 km/h 0.8 mm Extreme 53
11 Oct 26.9 °C 59 % 49 km/h 3.3 mm Low 8
12 Oct 27.6 °C 37 % 36 km/h 1.4 mm Moderate 13
13 Oct 30.3 °C 34 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm High 25
14 Oct 34.4 °C 24 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
15 Oct 37.3 °C 21 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
16 Oct 37.9 °C 22 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
17 Oct 38.1 °C 22 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
18 Oct after 36.4 °C 28 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
19 Oct after 32.3 °C 31 % 46 km/h 0.3 mm Very high 43
20 Oct after 26.2 °C 62 % 39 km/h 4.4 mm Low 5

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 21.8, a minimum humidity of 35% and 1 day without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 18.

FWI at the start 21.8
Minimum humidity 35 %
Days without rain 1
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Derre fire, September 2024
12,750 ha 14 days FWI 21.6 Min. humidity 36 % 30 km away, in 2024

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 11.4 mm on 22 Sept.

What happened to them

16 days
median duration
5,544 ha
median area
6 %
went past 10,000 ha
3.8 mm
rain at the end (median; 10 of 18 had it)

It was 2.9 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 35 days, against 16 days.

None of its 18 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 8 of 18, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.8 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

4.4 mmfirst rain
20 Oct3 days after it ended
56km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 17 Oct, and on 20 Oct 4.4 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 10 of 18, with a median of 3.8 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 6 Sept 2021
After · 24 Oct 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 1,525Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Mozambique

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mocuba fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 13 September 2021 to 17 October 2021 (35 days). The perimeter dates it from 13 September 2021 to 10 October 2021.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 15,880 hectares (158.8 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Mocuba (16,710 ha, 1.9 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 38.1 °C, humidity dropped to 18 % and gusts hit 56 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 53, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Mozambique (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 18. Their median duration was 16 days and their median area 5,544 ha; 6 % went past 10,000 ha. None of its 18 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 8 of 18, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.8 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 10 October 2021 → 17 October 2021.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery; 3 polygons grouped in this page.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 13 September 2021 to 10 October 2021. 1,525 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.