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SN · Senegal · –

Missira fire, 12 January 2023 Missira, Bandafassi

Out · last detection 5 Feb 2023, 13:35 UTC

The fire started on 12 January 2023 in Missira, Senegal, and satellites saw it burning for 25 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 23,826 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 2th largest in Tambacounda since 2016 (of 222 with a page). Number 2 in Senegal in 2023, of 83.

Burnt area
23,826ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
25days
12 Jan 2023 – 5 Feb 2023
Municipalities hit
2
districts
Started on
12 Jan
2023
Heat detections
891
in a single hotspot: 179 MW
Danger at start
46
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
330MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 12 Jan5 Feb
5 Feb 2023

How it evolved, day by day

12 Jan 2023 · 43 MW · 8 13 Jan 2023 · 16 MW · 5 14 Jan 2023 · 5 MW · 3 15 Jan 2023 · 1,334 MW · 54 16 Jan 2023 · 15 MW · 10 17 Jan 2023 · 9 MW · 4 18 Jan 2023 · 57 MW · 12 19 Jan 2023 · 2,230 MW · 73 20 Jan 2023 · 121 MW · 51 21 Jan 2023 · 81 MW · 15 22 Jan 2023 · 20 MW · 9 23 Jan 2023 · 135 MW · 18 25 Jan 2023 · 5 MW · 4 27 Jan 2023 · 181 MW · 26 28 Jan 2023 · 247 MW · 40 29 Jan 2023 · 141 MW · 29 30 Jan 2023 · 353 MW · 71 31 Jan 2023 · 853 MW · 148 1 Feb 2023 · 512 MW · 138 2 Feb 2023 · 914 MW · 107 3 Feb 2023 · 261 MW · 48 4 Feb 2023 · 56 MW · 12 5 Feb 2023 · 13 MW · 6
12 Jan 19 Jan 29 Jan 3 Feb

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

40°high
40km/h · peak gust
12%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

94% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 9,227 ha in 2016, 18,393 ha in 2017, 3,741 ha in 2018, 8,364 ha in 2019, 6,559 ha in 2020, 10,219 ha in 2021, 7,981 ha in 2022. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 22,278 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 15% of the area of London (238 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Missira where it started
    23,555 ha reached on 12 Jan
    2.8 %
  2. 452 ha reached on 14 Jan
    0.1 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 79 % of the area in Senegal

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
12 Jan 36.2 °C 16 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
13 Jan 36.8 °C 17 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
14 Jan 37.2 °C 16 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
15 Jan 37.7 °C 15 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
16 Jan 37.4 °C 13 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
17 Jan 37.5 °C 13 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
18 Jan 37.7 °C 12 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
19 Jan 37.5 °C 13 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
20 Jan 38.1 °C 14 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
21 Jan 36.0 °C 18 % 21 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
22 Jan 35.3 °C 20 % 19 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
23 Jan 35.2 °C 22 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
24 Jan 35.5 °C 27 % 17 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
25 Jan 36.8 °C 26 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
26 Jan 39.8 °C 12 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
27 Jan 39.4 °C 15 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
28 Jan 36.7 °C 16 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
29 Jan 35.3 °C 13 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
30 Jan 36.0 °C 15 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
31 Jan 38.3 °C 13 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
1 Feb 38.7 °C 15 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
2 Feb 38.1 °C 16 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
3 Feb 37.6 °C 16 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
4 Feb 37.4 °C 14 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
5 Feb 37.1 °C 16 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
6 Feb after 37.2 °C 11 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
7 Feb after 36.5 °C 14 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
8 Feb after 38.7 °C 13 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
9 Feb after 38.2 °C 21 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
10 Feb after 39.2 °C 15 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
11 Feb after 39.8 °C 14 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
12 Feb after 41.0 °C 15 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
13 Feb after 38.5 °C 16 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 68
14 Feb after 37.9 °C 16 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
15 Feb after 37.9 °C 18 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 46.4, a minimum humidity of 16% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 38.

FWI at the start 46.4
Minimum humidity 16 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Bandafassi fire, January 2024
4,441 ha 7 days FWI 46.1 Min. humidity 16 % 51 km away, in 2024

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

6 days
median duration
2,240 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
—
rain at the end (median; 0 of 38 had it)

It was 10.6 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 25 days, against 6 days.

None of its 38 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
40km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 5 Feb, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. None of its 38 twins had rain when they ended.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 5 Jan 2023
After · 12 Feb 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 21 January 2023 the air beside the fire reached 107 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 56: 3.7 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak107 µg/m³
Days over the guideline23 days
PM10207 µg/m³
Optical depth0.83
17 Jan22 Jan27 Jan1 Feb6 Feb
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 891Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Senegal

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Missira fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 12 January 2023 to 5 February 2023 (25 days). The perimeter dates it from 19 January 2023 to 5 February 2023.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 23,826 hectares (238.3 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Missira (23,555 ha, 2.8 %); Bandafassi (452 ha, 0.1 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 39.8 °C, humidity dropped to 12 % and gusts hit 40 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 60, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Senegal (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 38. Their median duration was 6 days and their median area 2,240 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. None of its 38 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 18 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Start date: 19 January 2023 → 12 January 2023.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 18.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery; 2 polygons grouped in this page.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 19 January 2023 to 5 February 2023. 891 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.