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SZ · Eswatini · –

Mhlambanyatsi fire, July 2019 Mhlambanyatsi, Lobamba, Lobamba Lomdzala

Out · last detection 20 Jul 2019, 11:41 UTC

The fire started on 15 July 2019 in Mhlambanyatsi, Eswatini, and satellites saw it burning for 6 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,180 hectares from heat detections, spread across 4 municipalities.

It is the largest fire in Manzini since 2016 (of 14 with a page). Number 4 in Eswatini in 2019, of 19.

Burnt area
2,180ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
6days
15 Jul 2019 – 20 Jul 2019
Municipalities hit
4
tinkhundla
Started on
15 Jul
2019
Heat detections
82
in a single hotspot: 31 MW
Danger at start
23
High · FWI index
Average daily power
212MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 15 Jul20 Jul
20 Jul 2019

How it evolved, day by day

18 Jul 2019 · 5 MW · 1 19 Jul 2019 · 622 MW · 79 20 Jul 2019 · 10 MW · 2
18 Jul 19 Jul 20 Jul

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

28°high
59km/h · peak gust
10%lowest humidity

It had gone 18 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.4% of the area of London (22 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Mhlambanyatsi where it started
    1,079 ha reached on 19 Jul
    2.2 %
  2. 496 ha reached on 19 Jul
    3.9 %
  3. 357 ha reached on 19 Jul
    2.3 %
  4. 258 ha reached on 18 Jul
    0.8 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area2.8 ha
Residents≈ 150

Inside the perimeter there were about 2.8 hectares of built-up land and about 150 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
15 Jul 25.8 °C 25 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 23
16 Jul 23.7 °C 34 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 23
17 Jul 25.8 °C 22 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
18 Jul 26.1 °C 19 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
19 Jul 27.9 °C 10 % 59 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
20 Jul 22.5 °C 20 % 56 km/h 2.2 mm Moderate 15
21 Jul after 16.3 °C 30 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 15
22 Jul after 24.1 °C 24 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm High 22
23 Jul after 27.5 °C 15 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
24 Jul after 25.9 °C 15 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
25 Jul after 23.3 °C 33 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
26 Jul after 23.6 °C 23 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
27 Jul after 21.6 °C 49 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 20
28 Jul after 23.8 °C 26 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm High 22
29 Jul after 24.3 °C 30 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm High 23
30 Jul after 28.3 °C 21 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm High 28

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 22.8, a minimum humidity of 25% and 18 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 17.

FWI at the start 22.8
Minimum humidity 25 %
Days without rain 18
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Thaba Chweu fire, August 2021
2,848 ha 4 days FWI 23.4 Min. humidity 25 % 199 km away, in 2021

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 3.5 mm on 14 Aug.

What happened to them

5 days
median duration
3,112 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
2.7 mm
rain at the end (median; 14 of 17 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (2,180 ha against a median of 3,112 ha) and lasted 6 days, against 5 days.

In 3 of 17, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.7 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
59km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 20 Jul, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 14 of 17, with a median of 2.7 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 8 Jul 2019
After · 27 Jul 2019

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 82Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Eswatini

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mhlambanyatsi fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 15 July 2019 to 20 July 2019 (6 days). The perimeter dates it from 18 July 2019 to 20 July 2019.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,180 hectares (21.8 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 4 municipalities: Mhlambanyatsi (1,079 ha, 2.2 %); Lobamba (496 ha, 3.9 %); Lobamba Lomdzala (357 ha, 2.3 %); Motjane (258 ha, 0.8 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 27.9 °C, humidity dropped to 10 % and gusts hit 59 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 46, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Eswatini (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 17. Their median duration was 5 days and their median area 3,112 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In 3 of 17, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.7 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Start date: 18 July 2019 → 15 July 2019.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 18 July 2019 to 20 July 2019. 82 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Open Data Commons Open Database License 1.0). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.