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ET · Ethiopia · –

Menit Shasha fire, February 2023 Menit Shasha

Out · last detection 23 Feb 2023, 11:13 UTC

The fire started on 18 February 2023 in Menit Shasha, Ethiopia, and satellites saw it burning for 6 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,499 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 96th largest in SNNPR since 2016 (of 161 with a page). Number 69 in Ethiopia in 2023, of 101.

Compare with…
Burnt area
2,499ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
6days
18 Feb 2023 – 23 Feb 2023
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
18 Feb
2023
Heat detections
91
in a single hotspot: 44 MW
Danger at start
46
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
164MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 18 Feb23 Feb
23 Feb 2023

How it evolved, day by day

18 Feb 2023 · 357 MW · 13 19 Feb 2023 · 33 MW · 12 20 Feb 2023 · 167 MW · 26 21 Feb 2023 · 123 MW · 16 22 Feb 2023 · 297 MW · 23 23 Feb 2023 · 5 MW · 1
18 Feb 20 Feb 22 Feb

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

39°high
36km/h · peak gust
13%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

55% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 661 ha in 2016, 1,111 ha in 2017, 1,338 ha in 2021, 905 ha in 2022. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 1,383 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.6% of the area of London (25 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Menit Shasha where it started
    2,515 ha reached on 18 Feb
    0.8 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents≈ 50

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.03 hectares of built-up land and about 50 residents (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 37 % of the area in Ethiopia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
18 Feb 37.0 °C 16 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
19 Feb 36.6 °C 17 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
20 Feb 38.8 °C 13 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
21 Feb 39.1 °C 14 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
22 Feb 38.7 °C 14 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
23 Feb 39.0 °C 16 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
24 Feb after 38.3 °C 18 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
25 Feb after 35.3 °C 26 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
26 Feb after 38.6 °C 23 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
27 Feb after 37.0 °C 26 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
28 Feb after 36.8 °C 28 % 35 km/h 0.5 mm Very high 40
1 Mar after 35.3 °C 28 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
2 Mar after 35.2 °C 25 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
3 Mar after 36.8 °C 20 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
4 Mar after 37.9 °C 22 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
5 Mar after 36.8 °C 23 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 46.5, a minimum humidity of 16% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 16.

FWI at the start 46.5
Minimum humidity 16 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Dima fire, January 2018
2,576 ha 2 days FWI 46.1 Min. humidity 16 % 194 km away, in 2018

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

5 days
median duration
3,006 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
1.9 mm
rain at the end (median; 4 of 16 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (2,499 ha against a median of 3,006 ha) and lasted 6 days, against 5 days.

In 12 of 16, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.9 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
36km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 23 Feb, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 4 of 16, with a median of 1.9 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 11 Feb 2023
After · 2 Mar 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 16 February 2023 the air beside the fire reached 64 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 45: 3.0 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak64 µg/m³
Days over the guideline10 days
PM1093 µg/m³
Optical depth0.74
16 Feb18 Feb20 Feb22 Feb24 Feb
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 91Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Ethiopia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Menit Shasha fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 18 February 2023 to 23 February 2023 (6 days). The perimeter dates it from 18 February 2023 to 22 February 2023.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,499 hectares (25.0 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Menit Shasha (2,515 ha, 0.8 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 39.1 °C, humidity dropped to 13 % and gusts hit 36 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 49, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Ethiopia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 16. Their median duration was 5 days and their median area 3,006 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In 12 of 16, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.9 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 22 February 2023 → 23 February 2023.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 18 February 2023 to 22 February 2023. 91 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Open Data Commons Open Database License 1.0). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.