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Mecula fire, 15 October 2026 Mecula

Dying down · last detection 25 Oct 2026, 11:57 UTC

The fire started on 15 October 2026 in Mecula, Mozambique, and satellites saw it burning for 11 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,850 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 350th largest in Niassa since 2016 (of 580 with a page). Number 340 in Mozambique in 2026, of 537.

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Is it still active?

No detections since 25 Oct 2026, 11:57 UTC. That usually means no flame is visible from space any more, although hotspots may remain. Satellites pass a few times a day and cloud or smoke can hide the fire: a lack of detections is not an official extinction. Each country’s emergency service declares a fire contained or out.

Burnt area
3,850ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
11days
15 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
15 Oct
2026
Heat detections
61
in a single hotspot: 56 MW
Danger at start
46
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
104MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 15 Oct25 Oct
25 Oct 2026

How it evolved, day by day

15 Oct 2026 · 0 MW · 0 17 Oct 2026 · 0 MW · 0 18 Oct 2026 · 85 MW · 6 19 Oct 2026 · 17 MW · 4 20 Oct 2026 · 72 MW · 8 21 Oct 2026 · 298 MW · 16 22 Oct 2026 · 79 MW · 10 23 Oct 2026 · 151 MW · 13 24 Oct 2026 · 25 MW · 4 25 Oct 2026 · 0 MW · 0
15 Oct 18 Oct 20 Oct 21 Oct 22 Oct 24 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

39°high
51km/h · peak gust
17%lowest humidity

It had gone 10 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

83% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 335 ha in 2016, 1,463 ha in 2017, 397 ha in 2018, 717 ha in 2020, 305 ha in 2021, 1,607 ha in 2022, 1,103 ha in 2025. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 3,210 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.4% of the area of London (38 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Mecula where it started
    3,874 ha reached on 15 Oct
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · forecast models, provisional until the ERA5 reanalysis arrives

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
15 Oct 35.2 °C 21 % 51 km/h 0.1 mm Very high 46
16 Oct 35.0 °C 21 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
17 Oct 34.4 °C 23 % 45 km/h 0.2 mm Very high 41
18 Oct 32.5 °C 31 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
19 Oct 34.5 °C 30 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
20 Oct 36.4 °C 28 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
21 Oct 37.3 °C 25 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
22 Oct 38.7 °C 21 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
23 Oct 38.7 °C 17 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
24 Oct 37.5 °C 20 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
25 Oct 36.2 °C 27 % 36 km/h 0.1 mm Very high 42

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 8 Oct 2026
After · 25 Oct 2026

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 22 October 2026 the air beside the fire reached 23 µg/m³ of PM2.5, but no daily average passed the WHO guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak23 µg/m³
Days over the guideline0 days
PM1024 µg/m³
Optical depth0.44
1314151617181920212223
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 61Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Mozambique ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mecula fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 15 October 2026 to 25 October 2026 (11 days). The perimeter dates it from 17 October 2026 to 24 October 2026.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,850 hectares (38.5 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Mecula (3,874 ha, 0.2 %).
Is the Mecula fire still active?
No fire detections since 25 Oct 2026, 11:57 UTC. A lack of detections is not an official extinction.
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 38.7 °C, humidity dropped to 17 % and gusts hit 51 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 47, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Mozambique (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Area: 3,635 → 3,850 ha.

RSS Changes to this page

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 17 October 2026 to 24 October 2026. 61 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: ECMWF IFS model, provisional until the ERA5 reanalysis arrives.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology ›

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.