Burned area
satellite only5,591ha
Perimeter published by GWIS (Copernicus).
- Source
- GWIS (Copernicus)
- Date
- 2 Feb 2021 – 20 Feb 2021
+− cross-check
No official record is matched to this page to compare it with.
CF · Central African Republic · –
Mbolo-Pata fire, February 2021 Mbolo-Pata
Out · last detection 20 Feb 2021, 11:56 UTC
The fire started on 2 February 2021 in Mbolo-Pata, Central African Republic, and satellites saw it burning for 19 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 5,591 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.
It is the 136th largest in Bamingui-Bangoran since 2016 (of 166 with a page). Number 85 in Central African Republic in 2021, of 100.
Use this data
Compare with…
Use this data
Fire page data · version 2026-10-24matches the official recordwith caveatssatellite onlymodel
When copying, the sentence is
Tick the figures you want: they make up the lede and the CSV.
Duration by satellite
satellite only19days
2 Feb 2021 to 20 Feb 2021: first and last day with fire on the page.
- Source
- GWIS (Copernicus) · NASA FIRMS · VIIRS
- Date
- last detection: 20 Feb 2021, 11:56 UTC
+− cross-check
Satellites pass a few times a day and cloud or smoke can hide the fire: a lack of detections is not an official extinction. Each country’s emergency service declares a fire contained or out.
Start
satellite only2 Feb 2021
First day with fire seen by the satellites or the perimeter.
- Source
- GWIS (Copernicus) · NASA FIRMS · VIIRS
- Date
- 2 Feb 2021
+− cross-check
No official record is matched to this page, so the alert time and the cause are not known here.
Hotspots
satellite only188
VIIRS detections at 375 m. Most intense hotspot: 81 MW.
- Source
- NASA FIRMS · VIIRS (Suomi NPP)
- Date
- 2 Feb 2021 – 20 Feb 2021
+− cross-check
There is no official record to compare with. Each hotspot is a pixel detected in one satellite pass, not a separate fire.
The worst day
satellite only447MW
Total radiative power on 12 February 2021; hotspots that day: 40.
- Source
- NASA FIRMS · VIIRS (FRP)
- Date
- 12 Feb 2021
+− cross-check
Fire radiative power (FRP) measures the energy the fire gives off when the satellite passes. Added up by day, it compares intensity, not area.
Danger at the start
model51.6FWI · extreme
Fire Weather Index (Canadian system) computed by WorldFires for the day the fire started. Consecutive days without rain before: 60.
- Source
- WorldFires calculation (Canadian FWI system)
- Date
- 2 Feb 2021, local noon
- Model
- ERA5 0,25° (ECMWF · Copernicus C3S) · Open-Meteo.com
+− cross-check
This is an index computed from weather model data, not a measurement of the fire nor an official warning. Danger warnings are issued by each country’s authority. Emergency number and official warnings
Weather during the fire
model39.6°C · 13% RH
High of 39.6 °C and minimum humidity of 13% on 14 February 2021; gusts of 45 km/h on 16 February 2021.
- Source
- weather model at the fire’s grid cell
- Date
- 2 Feb 2021 – 20 Feb 2021
- Model
- ERA5 0,25° (ECMWF · Copernicus C3S) · Open-Meteo.com
+− cross-check
These are model values for a cell of about 25 km, not from a weather station: they may differ from what was measured on the ground.
This page’s change log has been kept since 24 October 2026: every night what it publishes is compared and the difference is logged. Anything earlier is reconstructed from each source’s date and marked as reconstructed.
Show
-
· reconstructed GHSLPopulation and built-up area computed
-
· reconstructed weatherWeather and FWI computed from the ERA5 reanalysis
What was saved on 24 October 2026
Every night a snapshot of what the page shows is saved. If anything changes, it appears in the list as a log entry.
- Area
- 5,591 ha
- Dates
- 2 Feb 2021 – 20 Feb 2021
- Name
- Mbolo-Pata
- Official record
- —
Versioned permanent link
https://worldfires.org/en/fire/mbolo-pata-2021-02?v=2026-10-24A version keeps the area, dates, name and official record; the area as it was logged (changes under 2% are not logged). The map, hotspots and weather always show today’s data.
Citation
A lede of about 60 words figures only, no adjectives
CSV for this fire mbolo-pata-2021-02.csv · daily, no individual hotspots
| fecha | focos_viirs | frp_mw | tmax_c | tmin_c | hr_min_pct | viento_max_kmh | racha_max_kmh | precip_mm | fwi | clase_fwi | dentro_del_incendio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-02 | 1 | 7 | 39.1 | 21.2 | 10 | 10.2 | 24.1 | 0 | 51.6 | extremo | 1 |
| 2021-02-03 | 0 | 0 | 38.6 | 22.4 | 11 | 11.9 | 28.8 | 0 | 54 | extremo | 1 |
| 2021-02-04 | 4 | 22 | 38.6 | 20.8 | 9 | 16 | 37.1 | 0 | 59.7 | extremo | 1 |
| 2021-02-05 | 6 | 45 | 37.1 | 21.6 | 11 | 15.2 | 35.6 | 0 | 59 | extremo | 1 |
| 2021-02-06 | 0 | 0 | 34.8 | 21.5 | 10 | 16.5 | 37.1 | 0 | 60.6 | extremo | 1 |
| 2021-02-07 | 5 | 51 | 33.9 | 18.3 | 9 | 14.7 | 34.9 | 0 | 58.5 | extremo | 1 |
| 2021-02-08 | 14 | 115 | 34.7 | 17 | 6 | 16.1 | 39.2 | 0 | 60.7 | extremo | 1 |
| 2021-02-09 | 26 | 236 | 36 | 17.9 | 8 | 14.7 | 34.9 | 0 | 59.1 | extremo | 1 |
| 2021-02-10 | 10 | 82 | 36.3 | 19.4 | 6 | 14.7 | 36.4 | 0 | 59.4 | extremo | 1 |
| 2021-02-11 | 9 | 95 | 37.7 | 18.4 | 9 | 10.8 | 23.8 | 0 | 54.7 | extremo | 1 |
| 2021-02-12 | 40 | 447 | 38.3 | 19.1 | 9 | 11.1 | 29.5 | 0 | 55.4 | extremo | 1 |
| 2021-02-13 | 23 | 196 | 39.1 | 19.4 | 12 | 11.2 | 29.9 | 0 | 55.6 | extremo | 1 |
| 2021-02-14 | 22 | 284 | 39.6 | 22.3 | 13 | 15.1 | 35.3 | 0 | 60.3 | extremo | 1 |
| 2021-02-15 | 5 | 18 | 39.5 | 23 | 13 | 12.8 | 28.8 | 0 | 57.2 | extremo | 1 |
| 2021-02-16 | 11 | 80 | 37.5 | 22.5 | 9 | 20.4 | 44.6 | 0 | 68.1 | extremo | 1 |
| 2021-02-17 | 3 | 1 | 34.5 | 20.8 | 9 | 17.6 | 42.5 | 0 | 63.7 | extremo | 1 |
| 2021-02-18 | 0 | 0 | 33.8 | 19.3 | 13 | 16.7 | 33.8 | 0 | 58.7 | extremo | 1 |
| 2021-02-19 | 0 | 0 | 33.9 | 18.7 | 12 | 14.6 | 30.6 | 0 | 56.1 | extremo | 1 |
| 2021-02-20 | 9 | 103 | 34.7 | 20.2 | 10 | 13.9 | 28.8 | 0 | 55.4 | extremo | 1 |
| 2021-02-21 | 0 | 0 | 35.8 | 19.1 | 12 | 12.8 | 30.2 | 0 | 54.3 | extremo | 0 |
| 2021-02-22 | 0 | 0 | 36.8 | 20 | 14 | 13.1 | 30.6 | 0 | 54.7 | extremo | 0 |
| 2021-02-23 | 0 | 0 | 37.3 | 18.4 | 11 | 14 | 32.8 | 0 | 56.1 | extremo | 0 |
| 2021-02-24 | 0 | 0 | 35.8 | 21.4 | 11 | 18.5 | 41.8 | 0 | 62.3 | extremo | 0 |
| 2021-02-25 | 0 | 0 | 36.6 | 20.7 | 13 | 16.6 | 36 | 0 | 60 | extremo | 0 |
| 2021-02-26 | 0 | 0 | 37.8 | 21.3 | 11 | 14.6 | 32.4 | 0 | 57.6 | extremo | 0 |
| 2021-02-27 | 0 | 0 | 38.4 | 24.1 | 10 | 12.8 | 31.7 | 0 | 55.5 | extremo | 0 |
| 2021-02-28 | 0 | 0 | 39.9 | 22.7 | 9 | 16 | 36.7 | 0 | 60 | extremo | 0 |
| 2021-03-01 | 0 | 0 | 39.4 | 23.9 | 9 | 18.8 | 42.8 | 0 | 64.1 | extremo | 0 |
| 2021-03-02 | 0 | 0 | 39.4 | 24.5 | 7 | 18.8 | 43.6 | 0 | 65.1 | extremo | 0 |
It is generated in your browser from this page’s data: one file per fire, aggregated by day and without individual hotspots.
Live widget for your story
It updates itself while the fire is still active and links to this page. Free, with the attribution shown at the bottom.
Sources for this page: GWIS (Copernicus), NASA FIRMS (VIIRS), ERA5 (ECMWF/Copernicus C3S) · Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0), GHSL (JRC). Open-Meteo.com · How we build fire pages: methodology
- Burnt area
- 5,591ha
- GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
- Duration
- 19days
- 2 Feb 2021 – 20 Feb 2021
- Municipalities hit
- 1
- sub-prefectures
- Started on
- 2 Feb
- 2021
- Heat detections
- 188
- in a single hotspot: 81 MW
- Danger at start
- 52
- Extreme · FWI index
- Average daily power
- 119MW
- detected power per day, on average
Where it burned
HOTSPOTS BY DAY
2 Feb20 Feb
20 Feb 2021
How it evolved, day by day
2 Feb
7 Feb
12 Feb
16 Feb
Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.
The weather it burned in
40°high
45km/h · peak gust
6%lowest humidity
It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.
This area had burned before
74% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 2,897 ha in 2016, 1,062 ha in 2017, 787 ha in 2019, 964 ha in 2020. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 4,142 ha that had burned before.
How big is it?
London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).
Paris boundary: geoBoundaries · Institut national de l'information géographique et forestière (IGN-F) (Etalab Open License 2.0).
Madrid boundary: geoBoundaries · Open Data ESRI, IGN Central Registry of Cartography Area (CC BY 4.0).
Berlin boundary: geoBoundaries · Federal Agency for Cartography and Geodesy (dl-de/by-2-0).
This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.
What happened to each town
-
Mbolo-Pata where it started5,632 ha reached on 2 Feb1.1 %
Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.
People and buildings inside the perimeter
GHSL 2020Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20
Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).
This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.
Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu
The weather day by day
ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.
Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)
Started with Very dry air: 42 % of the area in Central African Republic 60 days without rain: 30 % of the area in Central African Republic
| Day | High | Min. humidity | Peak gust | Rain | Danger (FWI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Feb | 39.1 °C | 10 % | 24 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 52 |
| 3 Feb | 38.6 °C | 11 % | 29 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 54 |
| 4 Feb | 38.6 °C | 9 % | 37 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 60 |
| 5 Feb | 37.1 °C | 11 % | 36 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 59 |
| 6 Feb | 34.8 °C | 10 % | 37 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 61 |
| 7 Feb | 33.9 °C | 9 % | 35 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 58 |
| 8 Feb | 34.7 °C | 6 % | 39 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 61 |
| 9 Feb | 36.0 °C | 8 % | 35 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 59 |
| 10 Feb | 36.3 °C | 6 % | 36 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 59 |
| 11 Feb | 37.7 °C | 9 % | 24 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 55 |
| 12 Feb | 38.3 °C | 9 % | 30 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 55 |
| 13 Feb | 39.1 °C | 12 % | 30 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 56 |
| 14 Feb | 39.6 °C | 13 % | 35 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 60 |
| 15 Feb | 39.5 °C | 13 % | 29 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 57 |
| 16 Feb | 37.5 °C | 9 % | 45 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 68 |
| 17 Feb | 34.5 °C | 9 % | 42 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 64 |
| 18 Feb | 33.8 °C | 13 % | 34 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 59 |
| 19 Feb | 33.9 °C | 12 % | 31 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 56 |
| 20 Feb | 34.7 °C | 10 % | 29 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 55 |
| 21 Feb after | 35.8 °C | 12 % | 30 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 54 |
| 22 Feb after | 36.8 °C | 14 % | 31 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 55 |
| 23 Feb after | 37.3 °C | 11 % | 33 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 56 |
| 24 Feb after | 35.8 °C | 11 % | 42 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 62 |
| 25 Feb after | 36.6 °C | 13 % | 36 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 60 |
| 26 Feb after | 37.8 °C | 11 % | 32 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 58 |
| 27 Feb after | 38.4 °C | 10 % | 32 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 56 |
| 28 Feb after | 39.9 °C | 9 % | 37 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 60 |
| 1 Mar after | 39.4 °C | 9 % | 43 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 64 |
| 2 Mar after | 39.4 °C | 7 % | 44 km/h | 0.0 mm | Extreme 65 |
Its twins: fires that started in the same weather
It started with an FWI of 51.6, a minimum humidity of 10% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 23.
FWI at the start
51.6
Minimum humidity
10 %
Days without rain
60+
this fire
chosen twins
rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar
Outlines of the closest twins
This fire · Mbolo-Pata fire, February 2021
5,591 ha
19 days
FWI 51.6
Min. humidity 10 %
Ouadda fire, January 2018
6,827 ha
13 days
FWI 52.5
Min. humidity 10 %
58 km away, in 2018
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.
Dar El Kouti fire, January 2022
9,762 ha
12 days
FWI 52.1
Min. humidity 11 %
68 km away, in 2022
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.
Yéngou fire, January 2021
5,033 ha
12 days
FWI 52.2
Min. humidity 11 %
65 km away, in 2021
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.
Yéngou fire, January 2022
5,327 ha
14 days
FWI 52.4
Min. humidity 11 %
70 km away, in 2022
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.
Yéngou fire, January 2025
7,485 ha
16 days
FWI 50.8
Min. humidity 11 %
76 km away, in 2025
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.
What happened to them
- 11 days
- median duration
- 6,304 ha
- median area
- 4 %
- went past 10,000 ha
- —
- rain at the end (median; 0 of 23 had it)
It burned an area similar to its twins (5,591 ha against a median of 6,304 ha) and lasted 19 days, against 11 days.
In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.
This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it
How it ended
—first rain
—no rain in ten days
45km/h · max. gust
It was considered over on 20 Feb, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. None of its 23 twins had rain when they ended.
Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)
How a twin is chosen
- Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
- Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
- Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
- Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
- They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.
Before and after, from space
Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.
↔
Before · 26 Jan 2021
After · 27 Feb 2021
Sentinel-2 did not pass over on that day. Try another date, or use false colour, which is daily.
If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.
Detections table · 188Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV
Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
| Date and time | Satellite | FRP (MW) | Lat | Lon |
|---|
Other fires nearby
Frequently asked questions
- How long did the Mbolo-Pata fire last?
- According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 2 February 2021 to 20 February 2021 (19 days). The perimeter dates it from 9 February 2021 to 16 February 2021.
- How much area did it burn?
- The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 5,591 hectares (55.9 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
- Which municipalities burned?
- The fire only entered Mbolo-Pata (5,632 ha, 1.1 %).
- What was the weather like?
- During the fire the temperature reached 39.6 °C, humidity dropped to 6 % and gusts hit 45 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 68, class Extreme.
- Where does this data come from?
- From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Central African Republic (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
- How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
- Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 23. Their median duration was 11 days and their median area 6,304 ha; 4 % went past 10,000 ha. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.
Where to verify it
A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.
Satellite cross-check
History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
No changes since 24 October 2026.
RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version
Does something look wrong on this page?
This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.
Report an error
How we know this
- Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
- Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 9 February 2021 to 16 February 2021. 188 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
- We have not matched this page with any official record.
- Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
- Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.
Where this data comes from
The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.