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ZW · Zimbabwe · –

Mbire fire, 7 August 2018 Makonde, Mbire

Out · last detection 15 Aug 2018, 10:59 UTC

The fire started on 7 August 2018 in Mbire, Zimbabwe, and satellites saw it burning for 11 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,065 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 36th largest in Mashonaland Central since 2016 (of 257 with a page). Number 68 in Zimbabwe in 2018, of 265.

The power measured by the satellite is low (27.4 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Compare with…
Burnt area
2,065ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
11days
7 Aug 2018 – 17 Aug 2018
Municipalities hit
2
districts
Started on
7 Aug
2018
Heat detections
64
in a single hotspot: 27 MW
Danger at start
45
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
80MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 7 Aug17 Aug
15 Aug 2018

How it evolved, day by day

7 Aug 2018 · 85 MW · 21 8 Aug 2018 · 170 MW · 22 9 Aug 2018 · 122 MW · 14 10 Aug 2018 · 21 MW · 6 15 Aug 2018 · 3 MW · 1
7 Aug 8 Aug 9 Aug 10 Aug 15 Aug

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

34°high
48km/h · peak gust
18%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

33% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 336 ha in 2016, 352 ha in 2017.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.3% of the area of London (21 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. 1,579 ha
    0.2 %
  2. Mbire where it started
    491 ha
    0.1 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 63 % of the area in Zimbabwe

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
7 Aug 32.9 °C 20 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
8 Aug 33.7 °C 18 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
9 Aug 30.4 °C 34 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
10 Aug 29.7 °C 30 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
11 Aug 31.8 °C 25 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
12 Aug 30.3 °C 25 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
13 Aug 30.3 °C 26 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
14 Aug 30.1 °C 24 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
15 Aug 30.5 °C 25 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
16 Aug 30.8 °C 23 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
17 Aug 30.7 °C 22 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
18 Aug after 31.5 °C 22 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
19 Aug after 29.5 °C 30 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
20 Aug after 29.5 °C 26 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
21 Aug after 30.0 °C 22 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
22 Aug after 30.6 °C 25 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
23 Aug after 31.3 °C 23 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
24 Aug after 31.5 °C 25 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
25 Aug after 30.4 °C 24 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
26 Aug after 30.0 °C 28 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
27 Aug after 32.5 °C 19 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 45.2, a minimum humidity of 20% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 28.

FWI at the start 45.2
Minimum humidity 20 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Zumbu fire, September 2022
14,877 ha 23 days FWI 45.8 Min. humidity 20 % 103 km away, in 2022

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

5 days
median duration
1,227 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
2.0 mm
rain at the end (median; 4 of 28 had it)

It was 1.7 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 11 days, against 5 days.

Only 7 of its 28 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 24 of 28, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.0 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
48km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 17 Aug, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 4 of 28, with a median of 2.0 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 31 Jul 2018
After · 24 Aug 2018

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 64Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zimbabwe

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mbire fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 7 August 2018 to 17 August 2018 (11 days). The perimeter dates it from 7 August 2018 to 10 August 2018.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,065 hectares (20.6 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Makonde (1,579 ha, 0.2 %); Mbire (491 ha, 0.1 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 33.7 °C, humidity dropped to 18 % and gusts hit 48 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 64, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zimbabwe (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 28. Their median duration was 5 days and their median area 1,227 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. Only 7 of its 28 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 24 of 28, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.0 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Name: Makonde → Mbire.
  2. Last day with fire: 10 August 2018 → 17 August 2018.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 7 August 2018 to 10 August 2018. 64 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.