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TD · Chad · –

Mayo-Lemié fire, February 2023 Mayo-Lemié

Out · last detection 14 Feb 2023, 01:18 UTC

The fire started on 7 February 2023 in Mayo-Lemié, Chad, and satellites saw it burning for 8 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,740 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 6th largest in Mayo-Kebbi Est since 2016 (of 15 with a page). Number 58 in Chad in 2023, of 107.

Burnt area
2,740ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
8days
7 Feb 2023 – 14 Feb 2023
Municipalities hit
1
departments
Started on
7 Feb
2023
Heat detections
99
in a single hotspot: 57 MW
Danger at start
64
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
115MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 7 Feb14 Feb
14 Feb 2023

How it evolved, day by day

7 Feb 2023 · 55 MW · 14 8 Feb 2023 · 163 MW · 7 9 Feb 2023 · 157 MW · 17 10 Feb 2023 · 194 MW · 20 11 Feb 2023 · 139 MW · 14 12 Feb 2023 · 96 MW · 26 14 Feb 2023 · 1 MW · 1
7 Feb 10 Feb 14 Feb

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

38°high
42km/h · peak gust
4%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

100% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 2,478 ha in 2016, 1,633 ha in 2017, 218 ha in 2018, 1,519 ha in 2019, 1,550 ha in 2020, 570 ha in 2021, 953 ha in 2022. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 2,735 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.7% of the area of London (27 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Mayo-Lemié where it started
    2,757 ha reached on 7 Feb
    0.8 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 54 % of the area in Chad 60 days without rain: 44 % of the area in Chad

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
7 Feb 37.5 °C 6 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
8 Feb 37.9 °C 7 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
9 Feb 37.5 °C 9 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
10 Feb 38.2 °C 4 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
11 Feb 38.3 °C 5 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 66
12 Feb 36.5 °C 9 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 66
13 Feb 35.6 °C 11 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 68
14 Feb 34.5 °C 14 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
15 Feb after 31.5 °C 13 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
16 Feb after 30.6 °C 12 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
17 Feb after 32.0 °C 12 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
18 Feb after 33.8 °C 11 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
19 Feb after 33.4 °C 12 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
20 Feb after 35.2 °C 10 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
21 Feb after 36.8 °C 9 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
22 Feb after 37.9 °C 8 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
23 Feb after 38.8 °C 6 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
24 Feb after 38.5 °C 7 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 63.8, a minimum humidity of 6% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 44.

FWI at the start 63.8
Minimum humidity 6 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Zina fire, January 2017
1,502 ha 9 days FWI 63.0 Min. humidity 6 % 34 km away, in 2017

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

5 days
median duration
1,380 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
1.2 mm
rain at the end (median; 2 of 44 had it)

It was 2.0 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 8 days, against 5 days.

Only 4 of its 44 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 42 of 44, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.2 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
42km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 14 Feb, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 2 of 44, with a median of 1.2 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 31 Jan 2023
After · 21 Feb 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 17 February 2023 the air beside the fire reached 72 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 56: 3.8 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak72 µg/m³
Days over the guideline13 days
PM10236 µg/m³
Optical depth0.58
5 Feb8 Feb11 Feb14 Feb17 Feb
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 99Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Chad

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mayo-Lemié fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 7 February 2023 and 14 February 2023: 8 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,740 hectares (27.4 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Mayo-Lemié (2,757 ha, 0.8 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 38.3 °C, humidity dropped to 4 % and gusts hit 42 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 68, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Chad (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 44. Their median duration was 5 days and their median area 1,380 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. Only 4 of its 44 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 42 of 44, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.2 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 99 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.