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NG · Nigeria · –

Mayo-Belwa fire, January 2022 Mayo-Belwa

Out · last detection 4 Feb 2022, 12:54 UTC

The fire started on 29 January 2022 in Mayo-Belwa, Nigeria, and satellites saw it burning for 8 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,094 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 19th largest in Adamawa since 2016 (of 23 with a page). Number 115 in Nigeria in 2022, of 125.

The power measured by the satellite is low (11.9 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Compare with…
Burnt area
2,094ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
8days
29 Jan 2022 – 5 Feb 2022
Municipalities hit
1
local government areas
Started on
29 Jan
2022
Heat detections
67
in a single hotspot: 12 MW
Danger at start
46
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
36MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 29 Jan5 Feb
4 Feb 2022

How it evolved, day by day

30 Jan 2022 · 84 MW · 19 31 Jan 2022 · 38 MW · 12 1 Feb 2022 · 8 MW · 8 2 Feb 2022 · 8 MW · 7 3 Feb 2022 · 13 MW · 5 4 Feb 2022 · 66 MW · 16
30 Jan 1 Feb 3 Feb

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

30°high
36km/h · peak gust
11%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

87% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,753 ha in 2017, 1,477 ha in 2020. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 1,816 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.3% of the area of London (21 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Mayo-Belwa where it started
    2,108 ha reached on 30 Jan
    0.9 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area3.5 ha
Residents≈ 800

Inside the perimeter there were about 3.5 hectares of built-up land and about 800 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 42 % of the area in Nigeria

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
29 Jan 28.4 °C 15 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
30 Jan 28.1 °C 13 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
31 Jan 27.9 °C 12 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
1 Feb 27.6 °C 15 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
2 Feb 29.5 °C 14 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
3 Feb 29.7 °C 12 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
4 Feb 28.7 °C 11 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
5 Feb 28.7 °C 13 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
6 Feb after 29.2 °C 14 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
7 Feb after 31.0 °C 15 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
8 Feb after 32.5 °C 13 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
9 Feb after 32.7 °C 12 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
10 Feb after 31.7 °C 9 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
11 Feb after 30.7 °C 11 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
12 Feb after 31.0 °C 11 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
13 Feb after 32.5 °C 12 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
14 Feb after 33.7 °C 11 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
15 Feb after 34.2 °C 10 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 46.3, a minimum humidity of 15% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 51.

FWI at the start 46.3
Minimum humidity 15 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Yorro fire, December 2020
3,131 ha 12 days FWI 45.2 Min. humidity 15 % 39 km away, in 2020

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

7 days
median duration
1,567 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
—
rain at the end (median; 0 of 51 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (2,094 ha against a median of 1,567 ha) and lasted 8 days, against 7 days.

In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
36km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 5 Feb, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. None of its 51 twins had rain when they ended.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 22 Jan 2022
After · 12 Feb 2022

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 67Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Nigeria

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mayo-Belwa fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 29 January 2022 to 5 February 2022 (8 days). The perimeter dates it from 29 January 2022 to 3 February 2022.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,094 hectares (20.9 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Mayo-Belwa (2,108 ha, 0.9 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 29.7 °C, humidity dropped to 11 % and gusts hit 36 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 50, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Nigeria (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 51. Their median duration was 7 days and their median area 1,567 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 3 February 2022 → 5 February 2022.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 29 January 2022 to 3 February 2022. 67 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.