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MG · Madagascar · –

Marovoay fire, September 2022 Marovoay

Out · last detection 21 Oct 2022, 10:09 UTC

The fire started on 26 September 2022 in Marovoay, Madagascar, and satellites saw it burning for 25 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 11,083 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 5th largest in Boeny since 2016 (of 24 with a page). Number 3 in Madagascar in 2022, of 34.

Burnt area
11,083ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
25days
26 Sept 2022 – 20 Oct 2022
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
26 Sept
2022
Heat detections
489
in a single hotspot: 419 MW
Danger at start
47
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
445MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 26 Sept20 Oct
21 Oct 2022

How it evolved, day by day

27 Sept 2022 · 12 MW · 3 28 Sept 2022 · 1,748 MW · 55 29 Sept 2022 · 2,452 MW · 95 30 Sept 2022 · 1,401 MW · 63 1 Oct 2022 · 714 MW · 42 2 Oct 2022 · 60 MW · 6 3 Oct 2022 · 646 MW · 22 4 Oct 2022 · 127 MW · 14 5 Oct 2022 · 192 MW · 8 6 Oct 2022 · 13 MW · 2 7 Oct 2022 · 487 MW · 22 8 Oct 2022 · 356 MW · 19 9 Oct 2022 · 222 MW · 18 10 Oct 2022 · 1,324 MW · 28 11 Oct 2022 · 291 MW · 14 12 Oct 2022 · 80 MW · 10 13 Oct 2022 · 170 MW · 22 14 Oct 2022 · 326 MW · 21 15 Oct 2022 · 16 MW · 2 16 Oct 2022 · 31 MW · 4 17 Oct 2022 · 24 MW · 2 18 Oct 2022 · 118 MW · 5 19 Oct 2022 · 241 MW · 4 20 Oct 2022 · 57 MW · 7 21 Oct 2022 · 21 MW · 1
29 Sept 7 Oct 12 Oct 17 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

37°high
45km/h · peak gust
16%lowest humidity

It had gone 24 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 4.9 mm on 25 Oct.

This area had burned before

63% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 4,083 ha in 2016, 1,310 ha in 2017, 3,550 ha in 2018, 47 ha in 2019, 3,864 ha in 2020, 316 ha in 2021. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 6,996 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 7% of the area of London (111 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Marovoay where it started
    11,144 ha reached on 27 Sept
    2.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
26 Sept 36.2 °C 26 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
27 Sept 35.9 °C 21 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
28 Sept 34.2 °C 20 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
29 Sept 34.2 °C 18 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
30 Sept 34.2 °C 23 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
1 Oct 33.5 °C 22 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
2 Oct 34.4 °C 27 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
3 Oct 34.1 °C 18 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
4 Oct 36.0 °C 18 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
5 Oct 37.2 °C 16 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
6 Oct 36.1 °C 20 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
7 Oct 36.4 °C 20 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
8 Oct 34.8 °C 22 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
9 Oct 35.0 °C 19 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
10 Oct 35.5 °C 21 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
11 Oct 35.1 °C 19 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
12 Oct 35.4 °C 18 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
13 Oct 35.6 °C 22 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
14 Oct 35.0 °C 19 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
15 Oct 32.0 °C 27 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
16 Oct 33.6 °C 24 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
17 Oct 35.4 °C 25 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
18 Oct 35.9 °C 23 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
19 Oct 35.1 °C 23 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
20 Oct 34.6 °C 22 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
21 Oct after 35.6 °C 26 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
22 Oct after 34.4 °C 22 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
23 Oct after 35.3 °C 27 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
24 Oct after 36.0 °C 33 % 32 km/h 0.6 mm High 36
25 Oct after 34.1 °C 46 % 28 km/h 4.9 mm Low 9

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 46.8, a minimum humidity of 26% and 24 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 17.

FWI at the start 46.8
Minimum humidity 26 %
Days without rain 24
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Antsohihy fire, October 2021
2,316 ha 4 days FWI 45.2 Min. humidity 28 % 151 km away, in 2021

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 2.4 mm on 8 Oct.

What happened to them

6 days
median duration
2,334 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
2.4 mm
rain at the end (median; 13 of 17 had it)

It was 4.7 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 25 days, against 6 days.

None of its 17 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 4 of 17, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.4 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

4.9 mmfirst rain
25 Oct5 days after it ended
45km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 20 Oct, and on 25 Oct 4.9 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 13 of 17, with a median of 2.4 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 19 Sept 2022
After · 27 Oct 2022

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 13 October 2022 the air beside the fire reached 26 µg/m³ of PM2.5, but no daily average passed the WHO guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak26 µg/m³
Days over the guideline0 days
PM1038 µg/m³
Optical depth0.71
25 Sept30 Sept5 Oct10 Oct15 Oct
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 489Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Madagascar

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Marovoay fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 26 September 2022 to 20 October 2022 (25 days). The perimeter dates it from 27 September 2022 to 16 October 2022.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 11,083 hectares (110.8 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Marovoay (11,144 ha, 2.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 37.2 °C, humidity dropped to 16 % and gusts hit 45 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 58, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Madagascar (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 17. Their median duration was 6 days and their median area 2,334 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. None of its 17 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 4 of 17, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.4 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 16 October 2022 → 20 October 2022.
  2. Start date: 27 September 2022 → 26 September 2022.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 27 September 2022 to 16 October 2022. 489 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.