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ZA · South Africa · –

Maluti a Phofung fire, 2 October 2019 Maluti a Phofung

Out · last detection 8 Oct 2019, 11:40 UTC

The fire started on 2 October 2019 in Maluti a Phofung, South Africa, and satellites saw it burning for 7 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,132 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 33th largest in Free State since 2016 (of 84 with a page). Number 59 in South Africa in 2019, of 130.

Burnt area
3,132ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
7days
2 Oct 2019 – 8 Oct 2019
Municipalities hit
1
municipalities
Started on
2 Oct
2019
Heat detections
132
in a single hotspot: 133 MW
Danger at start
14
Moderate · FWI index
Average daily power
259MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 2 Oct8 Oct
8 Oct 2019

How it evolved, day by day

2 Oct 2019 · 6 MW · 2 3 Oct 2019 · 7 MW · 5 4 Oct 2019 · 190 MW · 55 5 Oct 2019 · 1,461 MW · 58 6 Oct 2019 · 132 MW · 8 7 Oct 2019 · 4 MW · 2 8 Oct 2019 · 12 MW · 2
2 Oct 5 Oct 8 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

26°high
68km/h · peak gust
2%lowest humidity

It had gone one day without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2% of the area of London (31 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Maluti a Phofung where it started
    3,141 ha reached on 2 Oct
    0.7 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area1.6 ha
Residents≈ 50

Inside the perimeter there were about 1.6 hectares of built-up land and about 50 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
2 Oct 16.1 °C 23 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 14
3 Oct 19.9 °C 19 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
4 Oct 22.9 °C 2 % 68 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
5 Oct 24.1 °C 13 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
6 Oct 25.6 °C 13 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
7 Oct 23.8 °C 15 % 68 km/h 0.7 mm Very high 48
8 Oct 20.9 °C 23 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
9 Oct after 25.1 °C 14 % 55 km/h 0.6 mm Very high 42
10 Oct after 8.9 °C 69 % 53 km/h 0.3 mm Moderate 20
11 Oct after 21.0 °C 13 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
12 Oct after 24.8 °C 15 % 47 km/h 0.2 mm Very high 39
13 Oct after 24.9 °C 10 % 59 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
14 Oct after 23.5 °C 18 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
15 Oct after 20.2 °C 30 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
16 Oct after 25.8 °C 13 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
17 Oct after 27.3 °C 13 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
18 Oct after 27.6 °C 12 % 36 km/h 0.2 mm Very high 47

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 13.8, a minimum humidity of 23% and 1 day without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 18.

FWI at the start 13.8
Minimum humidity 23 %
Days without rain 1
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Impendle fire, September 2019
8,607 ha 4 days FWI 13.4 Min. humidity 22 % 127 km away, in 2019

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 11.2 mm on 5 Sept.

What happened to them

5 days
median duration
2,850 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
2.6 mm
rain at the end (median; 10 of 18 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (3,132 ha against a median of 2,850 ha) and lasted 7 days, against 5 days.

In 8 of 18, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.6 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
68km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 8 Oct, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 10 of 18, with a median of 2.6 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 25 Sept 2019
After · 15 Oct 2019

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 132Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in South Africa

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Maluti a Phofung fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 2 October 2019 and 8 October 2019: 7 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,132 hectares (31.3 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Maluti a Phofung (3,141 ha, 0.7 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 25.6 °C, humidity dropped to 2 % and gusts hit 68 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 56, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of South Africa (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 18. Their median duration was 5 days and their median area 2,850 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In 8 of 18, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.6 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 10177 · 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 10177 · 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 132 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.