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Makonde fire, 23 October 2026 Makonde, Mbire

Dying down · last detection 29 Oct 2026, 23:31 UTC

The fire started on 23 October 2026 in Makonde, Zimbabwe, and satellites saw it burning for 8 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,937 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 129th largest in Mashonaland West since 2016 (of 825 with a page). Number 59 in Zimbabwe in 2026, of 381.

Compare with…

Is it still active?

No detections since 29 Oct 2026, 23:31 UTC. That usually means no flame is visible from space any more, although hotspots may remain. Satellites pass a few times a day and cloud or smoke can hide the fire: a lack of detections is not an official extinction. Each country’s emergency service declares a fire contained or out.

Burnt area
2,937ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
8days
23 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
Municipalities hit
2
districts
Started on
23 Oct
2026
Heat detections
68
in a single hotspot: 46 MW
Danger at start
42
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
95MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 23 Oct30 Oct
29 Oct 2026

How it evolved, day by day

23 Oct 2026 · 281 MW · 17 24 Oct 2026 · 3 MW · 2 25 Oct 2026 · 8 MW · 4 26 Oct 2026 · 49 MW · 8 27 Oct 2026 · 101 MW · 20 28 Oct 2026 · 129 MW · 17 29 Oct 2026 · 0 MW · 0
23 Oct 24 Oct 25 Oct 26 Oct 27 Oct 28 Oct 29 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

39°high
48km/h · peak gust
15%lowest humidity

It had gone 13 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

33% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 271 ha in 2016, 553 ha in 2018, 619 ha in 2019, 35 ha in 2020, 91 ha in 2021, 642 ha in 2022, 7 ha in 2025. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 966 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.9% of the area of London (29 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Makonde where it started
    2,670 ha reached on 23 Oct
    0.3 %
  2. 275 ha reached on 23 Oct
    0.1 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · forecast models, provisional until the ERA5 reanalysis arrives

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
23 Oct 38.9 °C 15 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
24 Oct 33.7 °C 27 % 48 km/h 0.2 mm Very high 42
25 Oct 31.7 °C 31 % 45 km/h 0.1 mm High 36
26 Oct 33.0 °C 27 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
27 Oct 35.7 °C 19 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
28 Oct 37.1 °C 18 % 42 km/h 1.4 mm High 33
29 Oct 31.0 °C 36 % 44 km/h 0.2 mm High 34
30 Oct 29.8 °C 36 % 33 km/h 0.7 mm High 26

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 16 Oct 2026
After · 30 Oct 2026

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 22 October 2026 the air beside the fire reached 42 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 35: 2.3 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak42 µg/m³
Days over the guideline4 days
PM1047 µg/m³
Optical depth0.88
21222324
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 68Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zimbabwe ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Makonde fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 23 October 2026 to 30 October 2026 (8 days). The perimeter dates it from 23 October 2026 to 28 October 2026.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,937 hectares (29.4 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Makonde (2,670 ha, 0.3 %); Mbire (275 ha, 0.1 %).
Is the Makonde fire still active?
No fire detections since 29 Oct 2026, 23:31 UTC. A lack of detections is not an official extinction.
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 38.9 °C, humidity dropped to 15 % and gusts hit 48 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 42, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zimbabwe (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 5 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 25 October 2026.
  1. Area: 2,009 → 2,937 ha.
  2. Area: 1,666 → 2,009 ha.
  3. Area: 1,203 → 1,666 ha.
  4. Area: 1,003 → 1,203 ha.
  5. Page published (1,003 ha).

RSS Changes to this page

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 23 October 2026 to 28 October 2026. 68 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: ECMWF IFS model, provisional until the ERA5 reanalysis arrives.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology ›

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.