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Makonde fire, 16 October 2026 Makonde, Zvimba

Out · last detection 27 Oct 2026, 23:26 UTC

Satellites first detected fire on 16 October 2026 in Makonde, Zimbabwe. It was active for 11 days, with 105 heat detections and an area with fire of about 1,316 hectares rebuilt from them, spread across 2 municipalities.

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GWIS (Copernicus) has not yet published the perimeter of this fire. It rebuilds it from hotspots, which can take several days, and it does not always arrive. For now the area is the one rebuilt from heat detections (about 14 hectares per pixel). If the perimeter arrives, this page picks it up on its own and keeps the same address.

Area with fire
≈ 1,316ha
rebuilt from hotspots, no official perimeter yet
Duration
11days
16 Oct 2026 – 26 Oct 2026
Municipalities hit
2
districts
Started on
16 Oct
2026
Heat detections
105
in a single hotspot: 34 MW
Danger at start
34
High · FWI index
Average daily power
90MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 16 Oct26 Oct
27 Oct 2026

How it evolved, day by day

16 Oct 2026 · 178 MW · 22 17 Oct 2026 · 153 MW · 20 18 Oct 2026 · 35 MW · 7 19 Oct 2026 · 90 MW · 16 20 Oct 2026 · 104 MW · 18 21 Oct 2026 · 101 MW · 20 22 Oct 2026 · 44 MW · 10 23 Oct 2026 · 81 MW · 3 24 Oct 2026 · 171 MW · 20 25 Oct 2026 · 45 MW · 14 26 Oct 2026 · 0 MW · 1 27 Oct 2026 · 77 MW · 10
16 Oct 18 Oct 20 Oct 22 Oct 24 Oct 26 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

38°high
49km/h · peak gust
15%lowest humidity

It had gone 7 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 2.2 mm on 28 Oct.

What happened to each town

  1. 1,022 ha reached on 16 Oct
    0.1 %
  2. Zvimba where it started
    294 ha reached on 16 Oct
    0.0 %

Area with fire inside each municipality, rebuilt from heat detections (about 14 hectares per VIIRS pixel). An estimate until the official perimeter arrives. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · forecast models, provisional until the ERA5 reanalysis arrives

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
16 Oct 31.4 °C 22 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
17 Oct 31.4 °C 19 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
18 Oct 32.2 °C 20 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
19 Oct 33.7 °C 20 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
20 Oct 35.2 °C 17 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
21 Oct 35.3 °C 19 % 40 km/h 0.3 mm High 37
22 Oct 36.5 °C 19 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
23 Oct 37.7 °C 15 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
24 Oct 33.7 °C 23 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
25 Oct 32.4 °C 24 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
26 Oct 33.3 °C 21 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
27 Oct after 34.9 °C 19 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
28 Oct after 36.3 °C 18 % 30 km/h 2.2 mm High 27

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 9 Oct 2026
After · 29 Oct 2026

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 19 October 2026 the air beside the fire reached 32 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 20: 1.4 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak32 µg/m³
Days over the guideline4 days
PM1034 µg/m³
Optical depth0.35
111213141516171819
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 105Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zimbabwe ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Makonde fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite, it burned from 16 October 2026 to 26 October 2026 (11 days between the first and the last detection). There is no perimeter yet to date it.
How much area did it burn?
There is no perimeter yet. Heat detections rebuild about 1,316 hectares with fire (13.2 km²), a rough figure; GWIS will give its own when it publishes the perimeter, which can take several days.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Makonde (1,022 ha, 0.1 %); Zvimba (294 ha, 0.0 %).
Is the Makonde fire still active?
No fire detections since 27 Oct 2026, 23:26 UTC. A lack of detections is not an official extinction.
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 37.7 °C, humidity dropped to 15 % and gusts hit 49 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 45, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zimbabwe (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 5 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 24 October 2026 → 26 October 2026.
  2. Area: ≈ 1,134 → ≈ 1,316 ha.
  3. Start date: 15 October 2026 → 16 October 2026.
  4. Area: ≈ 1,302 → ≈ 1,134 ha.
  5. Start date: 14 October 2026 → 15 October 2026.

RSS Changes to this page

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • No perimeter yet: the area (≈ 1,316 ha) is estimated by counting VIIRS pixels with fire, about 14 ha each.
  • Dates of the first and last VIIRS detection of the cluster. 105 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • Weather: ECMWF IFS model, provisional until the ERA5 reanalysis arrives.

How we build fire pages: methodology ›

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.