Skip to content
worldfires
ML · Mali · –

Mahina fire, February 2021 Mahina

Out · last detection 15 Feb 2021, 13:33 UTC

The fire started on 11 February 2021 in Mahina, Mali, and satellites saw it burning for 5 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,341 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 106th largest in Kayes since 2016 (of 164 with a page). Number 40 in Mali in 2021, of 58.

Burnt area
2,341ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
5days
11 Feb 2021 – 15 Feb 2021
Municipalities hit
1
communes
Started on
11 Feb
2021
Heat detections
58
in a single hotspot: 59 MW
Danger at start
51
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
118MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 11 Feb15 Feb
15 Feb 2021

How it evolved, day by day

11 Feb 2021 · 221 MW · 16 12 Feb 2021 · 61 MW · 4 13 Feb 2021 · 157 MW · 13 14 Feb 2021 · 131 MW · 17 15 Feb 2021 · 18 MW · 8
11 Feb 12 Feb 13 Feb 14 Feb 15 Feb

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

42°high
28km/h · peak gust
11%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

36% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 840 ha in 2020.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.5% of the area of London (23 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Mahina where it started
    2,353 ha reached on 11 Feb
    1.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area0.26 ha
Residents≈ 40

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.26 hectares of built-up land and about 40 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 73 % of the area in Mali 60 days without rain: 41 % of the area in Mali

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
11 Feb 40.3 °C 13 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
12 Feb 41.3 °C 11 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
13 Feb 41.9 °C 12 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
14 Feb 39.5 °C 12 % 18 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
15 Feb 40.4 °C 11 % 19 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
16 Feb after 38.6 °C 13 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
17 Feb after 35.8 °C 16 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
18 Feb after 35.0 °C 26 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
19 Feb after 38.4 °C 22 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
20 Feb after 39.7 °C 13 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
21 Feb after 40.2 °C 11 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
22 Feb after 40.0 °C 11 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
23 Feb after 39.7 °C 9 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
24 Feb after 39.1 °C 6 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65
25 Feb after 38.2 °C 9 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 66

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 51.1, a minimum humidity of 13% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 17.

FWI at the start 51.1
Minimum humidity 13 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Kokofata fire, February 2017
2,281 ha 4 days FWI 51.3 Min. humidity 13 % 114 km away, in 2017

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

6 days
median duration
2,612 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
—
rain at the end (median; 0 of 17 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (2,341 ha against a median of 2,612 ha) and lasted 5 days, against 6 days.

In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
28km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 15 Feb, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. None of its 17 twins had rain when they ended.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 4 Feb 2021
After · 22 Feb 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 58Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Mali

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mahina fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 11 February 2021 and 15 February 2021: 5 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,341 hectares (23.4 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Mahina (2,353 ha, 1.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 41.9 °C, humidity dropped to 11 % and gusts hit 28 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 53, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Mali (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 17. Their median duration was 6 days and their median area 2,612 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 58 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.