Mafinga fire, 4 October 2023 Mafinga
The fire started on 4 October 2023 in Mafinga, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 7 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,396 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.
It is the 421th largest in Muchinga since 2016 (of 516 with a page). Number 136 in Zambia in 2023, of 165.
- Burnt area
- 3,396ha
- GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
- Duration
- 7days
- 4 Oct 2023 – 10 Oct 2023
- Municipalities hit
- 1
- districts
- Started on
- 4 Oct
- 2023
- Heat detections
- 123
- in a single hotspot: 63 MW
- Danger at start
- 36
- High · FWI index
- Energy released
- 1.5GW
- sum of detected power
Where it burned
How it evolved, day by day
Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.
The weather it burned in
It had gone 35 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 2.8 mm on 17 Oct.
This area had burned before
88% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 2,179 ha in 2016, 1,255 ha in 2017, 2,173 ha in 2019, 779 ha in 2020, 254 ha in 2022. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 2,981 ha that had burned before.
- 2,179 ha Mafinga fire, October 2016 21,255 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
- 2,173 ha Mafinga fire, October 2019 13,496 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
- 249 ha Mafinga fire, October 2017 20,303 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
What happened to each town
-
Mafinga where it started3,417 ha reached on 2 Oct0.8 %
Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance is from the town centre to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.
The weather day by day
ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.
Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)
| Day | High | Min. humidity | Peak gust | Rain | Danger (FWI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct | 26.9 °C | 28 % | 38 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 36 |
| 5 Oct | 27.0 °C | 29 % | 45 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 38 |
| 6 Oct | 28.4 °C | 30 % | 47 km/h | 0.1 mm | Very high 39 |
| 7 Oct | 28.7 °C | 27 % | 40 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 36 |
| 8 Oct | 30.1 °C | 18 % | 23 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 34 |
| 9 Oct | 30.5 °C | 16 % | 39 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 43 |
| 10 Oct | 29.5 °C | 25 % | 35 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 40 |
| 11 Oct after | 28.6 °C | 27 % | 41 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 40 |
| 12 Oct after | 30.0 °C | 24 % | 27 km/h | 0.1 mm | High 36 |
| 13 Oct after | 31.0 °C | 21 % | 25 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 36 |
| 14 Oct after | 32.3 °C | 20 % | 35 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 40 |
| 15 Oct after | 32.0 °C | 16 % | 34 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 43 |
| 16 Oct after | 29.4 °C | 31 % | 32 km/h | 0.3 mm | High 36 |
| 17 Oct after | 29.4 °C | 32 % | 35 km/h | 2.8 mm | Moderate 12 |
Before and after, from space
Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.
If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.
Detections table · 123Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
| Date and time | Satellite | FRP (MW) | Lat | Lon |
|---|
Other fires nearby
- 21,255 haMafinga9 October 2016 · 15 days · 3 km away
- 13,496 haMafingaOctober 2019 · 13 days · 3 km away
- 21,909 haMafinga6 October 2026 · 13 days · 4 km away
- 20,303 haMafinga16 October 2017 · 10 days · 14 km away
- 13,807 haMafinga5 October 2025 · 26 days · 16 km away
- 7,306 haMafinga12 October 2026 · 7 days · 17 km away
Frequently asked questions
- How long did the Mafinga fire last?
- GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 4 October 2023 and 10 October 2023: 7 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
- How much area did it burn?
- The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,396 hectares (34.0 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
- Which municipalities burned?
- The fire only entered Mafinga (3,417 ha, 0.8 %).
- What was the weather like?
- During the fire the temperature reached 30.5 °C, humidity dropped to 16 % and gusts hit 47 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 43, class Very high.
- Where does this data come from?
- From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
Where to verify it
A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.
Satellite cross-check
Does something look wrong on this page?
This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.
Report an error
Where this data comes from
The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.