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Lupane fire, October 2026 Lupane, Bubi

Dying down · last detection 23 Oct 2026, 11:49 UTC

The fire started on 14 October 2026 in Lupane, Zimbabwe, and satellites saw it burning for 10 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 1,390 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 310th largest in Matabeleland North since 2016 (of 484 with a page). Number 175 in Zimbabwe in 2026, of 370.

The power measured by the satellite is low (16.6 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Is it still active?

No detections since 23 Oct 2026, 11:49 UTC. That usually means no flame is visible from space any more, although hotspots may remain. Satellites pass a few times a day and cloud or smoke can hide the fire: a lack of detections is not an official extinction. Each country’s emergency service declares a fire contained or out.

Burnt area
1,390ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
10days
14 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026
Municipalities hit
2
districts
Started on
14 Oct
2026
Heat detections
36
in a single hotspot: 17 MW
Danger at start
33
High · FWI index
Energy released
315MW
sum of detected power

Where it burned

23 Oct 2026
HOTSPOTS BY DAY 14 Oct23 Oct

How it evolved, day by day

14151617181920212223

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

37°high
40km/h · peak gust
13%lowest humidity

It had gone 7 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

53% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 741 ha in 2019, 53 ha in 2025. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 741 ha that had burned before.

What happened to each town

  1. Lupane where it started
    1,219 ha reached on 14 Oct
    0.1 %
  2. 180 ha reached on 20 Oct
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance is from the town centre to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
14 Oct 33.6 °C 20 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
15 Oct 33.3 °C 22 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
16 Oct 32.6 °C 15 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
17 Oct 32.4 °C 21 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
18 Oct 33.8 °C 17 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
19 Oct 35.3 °C 16 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
20 Oct 35.5 °C 16 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
21 Oct 37.0 °C 13 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
22 Oct 37.6 °C 14 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 7 Oct 2026
After · 23 Oct 2026

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 21 October 2026 the air beside the fire reached 24 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 16: 1.1 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak24 µg/m³
Days over the guideline1 day
PM1027 µg/m³
Optical depth0.55
12131415161718192021
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 36Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zimbabwe ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Lupane fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 14 October 2026 to 23 October 2026 (10 days). The perimeter dates it from 14 October 2026 to 22 October 2026.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 1,390 hectares (13.9 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Lupane (1,219 ha, 0.1 %); Bubi (180 ha, 0.0 %).
Is the Lupane fire still active?
No fire detections since 23 Oct 2026, 11:49 UTC. A lack of detections is not an official extinction.
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 37.0 °C, humidity dropped to 13 % and gusts hit 40 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 44, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zimbabwe (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.