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ZM · Zambia · –

Luangwa fire, 11 September 2021 Luangwa

Out · last detection 22 Sept 2021, 11:38 UTC

The fire started on 11 September 2021 in Luangwa, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 12 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 5,027 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 21th largest in Lusaka since 2016 (of 52 with a page). Number 80 in Zambia in 2021, of 213.

The power measured by the satellite is low (27.8 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
5,027ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
12days
11 Sept 2021 – 22 Sept 2021
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
11 Sept
2021
Heat detections
154
in a single hotspot: 28 MW
Danger at start
38
High · FWI index
Average daily power
48MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 11 Sept22 Sept
22 Sept 2021

How it evolved, day by day

12 Sept 2021 · 2 MW · 1 13 Sept 2021 · 19 MW · 8 14 Sept 2021 · 24 MW · 13 15 Sept 2021 · 107 MW · 38 16 Sept 2021 · 111 MW · 27 17 Sept 2021 · 199 MW · 50 18 Sept 2021 · 11 MW · 2 19 Sept 2021 · 1 MW · 1 20 Sept 2021 · 2 MW · 3 21 Sept 2021 · 35 MW · 5 22 Sept 2021 · 19 MW · 6
12 Sept 17 Sept 21 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

35°high
59km/h · peak gust
21%lowest humidity

It had gone 26 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

68% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 339 ha in 2017, 208 ha in 2018, 1,617 ha in 2019, 1,931 ha in 2020. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 3,403 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 3.2% of the area of London (50 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Luangwa where it started
    5,060 ha reached on 12 Sept
    1.3 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Strong wind: 4.2 % of the area in Zambia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
11 Sept 24.2 °C 33 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
12 Sept 25.0 °C 40 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
13 Sept 29.5 °C 38 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
14 Sept 31.2 °C 29 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
15 Sept 32.6 °C 24 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
16 Sept 33.6 °C 21 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
17 Sept 34.6 °C 21 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
18 Sept 27.5 °C 37 % 59 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
19 Sept 25.4 °C 41 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
20 Sept 29.1 °C 29 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
21 Sept 31.2 °C 25 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
22 Sept 27.6 °C 36 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
23 Sept after 27.0 °C 39 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
24 Sept after 29.4 °C 34 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
25 Sept after 30.0 °C 29 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
26 Sept after 31.0 °C 29 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
27 Sept after 32.3 °C 27 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
28 Sept after 34.0 °C 24 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
29 Sept after 35.7 °C 21 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
30 Sept after 33.7 °C 28 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
1 Oct after 31.6 °C 34 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
2 Oct after 33.7 °C 29 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 37.5, a minimum humidity of 33% and 26 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 36.

FWI at the start 37.5
Minimum humidity 33 %
Days without rain 26
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Hurungwe fire, May 2024
4,366 ha 5 days FWI 33.3 Min. humidity 33 % 51 km away, in 2024

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

7 days
median duration
1,904 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
1.8 mm
rain at the end (median; 7 of 36 had it)

It was 2.6 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 12 days, against 7 days.

Only 4 of its 36 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 29 of 36, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.8 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
59km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 22 Sept, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 7 of 36, with a median of 1.8 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 4 Sept 2021
After · 29 Sept 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 154Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Luangwa fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 11 September 2021 to 22 September 2021 (12 days). The perimeter dates it from 12 September 2021 to 22 September 2021.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 5,027 hectares (50.3 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Luangwa (5,060 ha, 1.3 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 34.6 °C, humidity dropped to 21 % and gusts hit 59 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 45, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 36. Their median duration was 7 days and their median area 1,904 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. Only 4 of its 36 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 29 of 36, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.8 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Start date: 12 September 2021 → 11 September 2021.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 12 September 2021 to 22 September 2021. 154 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.