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TD · Chad · –

Loug-Chari fire, October 2026 Loug-Chari

Dying down · last detection 4 Nov 2026, 12:18 UTC

The fire started on 21 October 2026 in Loug-Chari, Chad, and satellites saw it burning for 15 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,443 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

Number 144 in Chad in 2026, of 214.

GWIS near-real-time perimeter, from the layer that changed in August 2025: this fire is not compared with fires from earlier years, because since then the GWIS layer gives more and larger perimeters.

The power measured by the satellite is low (28.6 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Is it still active?

No detections since 4 Nov 2026, 12:18 UTC. That usually means no flame is visible from space any more, although hotspots may remain. Satellites pass a few times a day and cloud or smoke can hide the fire: a lack of detections is not an official extinction. Each country’s emergency service declares a fire contained or out.

Wind, humidity and rain for the next 72 h

Burnt area
2,443ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
15days
21 Oct 2026 – 4 Nov 2026
Municipalities hit
1
departments
Started on
21 Oct
2026
Heat detections
30
in a single hotspot: 29 MW
Danger at start
43
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
40MW
detected power per day, on average

The next 72 hours

The wind is blowing from the east and pushing westwards; no sharp shifts are expected until Sun 8, 10:00.

ECMWF IFS 0.25° at the centre of the fire · computed 5 Nov 2026, 05:53 UTC

Thu 5, 20:00 – Fri 6, 07:00, local time

No overnight recovery: humidity stays at or below 27 %

Nights usually moisten the vegetation and the fire calms down. Tonight humidity does not reach 55 %, so it may stay active in the small hours.

Fri 6, 20:00 – Sat 7, 07:00, local time

No overnight recovery: humidity stays at or below 28 %

Nights usually moisten the vegetation and the fire calms down. Tonight humidity does not reach 55 %, so it may stay active in the small hours.

Sat 7, 20:00 – Sun 8, 07:00, local time

No overnight recovery: humidity stays at or below 22 %

Nights usually moisten the vegetation and the fire calms down. Tonight humidity does not reach 55 %, so it may stay active in the small hours.

Checked, no warning: no wind shifts of more than 60° no useful rain expected (0.0 mm in 72 h)

Hour by hour, local time

Tap the strip to see each hour

Mean wind Gusts where it blows to Relative humidity Night (8 pm to 8 am) Rain (mm) · chance in %

Where is it blowing? The next 48 h

geoBoundaries/OCHA Chad, OCHA Chad (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO))

At this hour

Places the fan reaches

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    We compare your point with the fan for each hour. Your location never leaves your device.

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    This is not an official warning. It is a global model forecast with cells of about 25 km, at the centre of the fire: it cannot see valley winds or the winds the fire itself creates. The fan shows where the wind blows, not where the fire will spread. If in doubt, follow what the authorities say.

    Forecast: ECMWF IFS 0.25° (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts), served by our own Open-Meteo instance; the chance of rain comes from the ECMWF ensemble. Variables: wind and gusts at 10 m, wind at 850 hPa, relative humidity and temperature at 2 m, rain. Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0).

    Fire: GWIS / Copernicus (reconstructed from VIIRS) (CC BY 4.0); hotspots from the last 24 h: VIIRS from NASA FIRMS. Boundaries: geoBoundaries/OCHA Chad, OCHA Chad (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)).

    How it is worked out: wind shift = a change of more than 60° in 6 h or less, with at least 15 km/h before and after; no overnight recovery = peak humidity between 8 pm and 8 am stays below 55 %; useful rain = 2 mm or more in 6 h. The fan opens 18° plus however much the wind varies within ±3 h and reaches 25 km beyond the edge of the fire: one model cell, not a rate of spread. Methodology

    Where it burned

    HOTSPOTS BY DAY 21 Oct4 Nov
    4 Nov 2026

    How it evolved, day by day

    21 Oct 2026 · 6 MW · 2 22 Oct 2026 · 182 MW · 15 23 Oct 2026 · 0 MW · 0 24 Oct 2026 · 4 MW · 1 25 Oct 2026 · 25 MW · 3 26 Oct 2026 · 53 MW · 7 27 Oct 2026 · 0 MW · 0 28 Oct 2026 · 0 MW · 0 29 Oct 2026 · 6 MW · 1 4 Nov 2026 · 3 MW · 1
    22 Oct 25 Oct 27 Oct 29 Oct

    Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

    The weather it burned in

    40°high
    29km/h · peak gust
    13%lowest humidity

    It had gone 13 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

    This area had burned before

    74% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 515 ha in 2016, 54 ha in 2019, 1,326 ha in 2020, 739 ha in 2021, 639 ha in 2022. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 1,798 ha that had burned before.

    How big is it?

    10 km
    It burned the equivalent of 1.5% of the area of London (24 km² against 1,583 km²).

    London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

    This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

    What happened to each town

    1. Loug-Chari where it started
      2,461 ha reached on 21 Oct
      0.2 %

    Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

    People and buildings inside the perimeter

    GHSL 2025
    Built-up area< 0.1 ha
    Residents< 20

    Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

    This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

    Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

    The weather day by day

    ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

    Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · forecast models, provisional until the ERA5 reanalysis arrives

    Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
    21 Oct 39.0 °C 17 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
    22 Oct 39.7 °C 15 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
    23 Oct 37.7 °C 15 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
    24 Oct 38.0 °C 14 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
    25 Oct 38.2 °C 13 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
    26 Oct 38.3 °C 15 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
    27 Oct 39.9 °C 13 % 20 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
    28 Oct 37.3 °C 20 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
    29 Oct 38.3 °C 14 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
    30 Oct 37.3 °C 27 % 29 km/h 0.1 mm Very high 48
    31 Oct 38.0 °C 23 % 19 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
    1 Nov 39.8 °C 14 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
    2 Nov 38.5 °C 19 % 16 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
    3 Nov 40.4 °C 16 % 20 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
    4 Nov 39.5 °C 18 % 20 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
    5 Nov after 40.5 °C 11 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64

    Before and after, from space

    Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

    Before · 14 Oct 2026
    After · 4 Nov 2026

    If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

    The smoke

    CAMS · Copernicus

    On 22 October 2026 the air beside the fire reached 54 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 32: 2.1 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

    PM2.5 peak54 µg/m³
    Days over the guideline6 days
    PM10177 µg/m³
    Optical depth0.30
    19 Oct21 Oct23 Oct25 Oct
    Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

    Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

    Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

    Detections table · 30Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
    ⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
    Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

    Other fires nearby

    All fires in Chad

    Frequently asked questions

    How long did the Loug-Chari fire last?
    According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 21 October 2026 to 4 November 2026 (15 days). The perimeter dates it from 21 October 2026 to 28 October 2026.
    How much area did it burn?
    The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,443 hectares (24.4 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
    Which municipalities burned?
    The fire only entered Loug-Chari (2,461 ha, 0.2 %).
    Is the Loug-Chari fire still active?
    No fire detections since 4 Nov 2026, 12:18 UTC. A lack of detections is not an official extinction.
    What was the weather like?
    During the fire the temperature reached 40.4 °C, humidity dropped to 13 % and gusts hit 29 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 52, class Extreme.
    What weather is expected at the fire over the next 72 hours?
    The wind is blowing from the east and pushing westwards; no sharp shifts are expected until Sun 8, 10:00. No overnight recovery: humidity stays at or below 27 % (Thu 5, 20:00 – Fri 6, 07:00). No overnight recovery: humidity stays at or below 28 % (Fri 6, 20:00 – Sat 7, 07:00). No overnight recovery: humidity stays at or below 22 % (Sat 7, 20:00 – Sun 8, 07:00). Times are local time at the fire. ECMWF IFS forecast (Open-Meteo) computed 5 Nov 2026, 05:53 UTC; this is not an official warning.
    Where does this data come from?
    From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Chad (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

    Where to verify it

    A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

    Satellite cross-check

    History of this page · 3 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 27 October 2026.
    1. Last day with fire: 26 October 2026 → 29 October 2026.
    2. Area: 2,296 → 2,443 ha.
    3. Page published (2,296 ha).

    RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

    Does something look wrong on this page?

    This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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    How we know this
    • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
    • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 21 October 2026 to 28 October 2026. 30 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
    • We have not matched this page with any official record.
    • Weather: ECMWF IFS model, provisional until the ERA5 reanalysis arrives.
    • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

    How we build fire pages: methodology

    Where this data comes from

    The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.