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KZ · Kazakhstan · –

Kordayskiy fire, October 2018 Қордай ауданы · Kordayskiy

Out · last detection 5 Oct 2018, 20:54 UTC

The fire started on 3 October 2018 in Kordayskiy, Kazakhstan, and satellites saw it burning for 3 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,155 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 32th largest in Jambyl Region since 2016 (of 34 with a page). Number 52 in Kazakhstan in 2018, of 57.

The power measured by the satellite is low (23.5 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Compare with…

Suggestions: Moyynkumskiy · 2019Moyynkumskiy · 2019

Burnt area
3,155ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
3days
3 Oct 2018 – 5 Oct 2018
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
3 Oct
2018
Heat detections
108
in a single hotspot: 24 MW
Danger at start
39
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
150MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 3 Oct5 Oct
5 Oct 2018

How it evolved, day by day

3 Oct 2018 · 107 MW · 35 4 Oct 2018 · 201 MW · 29 5 Oct 2018 · 143 MW · 44
3 Oct 4 Oct 5 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

22°high
43km/h · peak gust
20%lowest humidity

It had gone 8 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 4.0 mm on 13 Oct.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2% of the area of London (32 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Kordayskiy Қордай ауданы where it started
    3,175 ha reached on 3 Oct
    0.4 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
3 Oct 20.5 °C 26 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
4 Oct 18.7 °C 21 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
5 Oct 21.7 °C 20 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
6 Oct after 26.5 °C 15 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
7 Oct after 15.9 °C 35 % 60 km/h 0.8 mm Very high 44
8 Oct after 9.6 °C 39 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
9 Oct after 12.4 °C 49 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 18
10 Oct after 15.4 °C 32 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 16
11 Oct after 16.6 °C 31 % 19 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 18
12 Oct after 18.8 °C 29 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
13 Oct after 12.0 °C 46 % 65 km/h 4.0 mm High 33

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 39.4, a minimum humidity of 26% and 8 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2017: 3.

FWI at the start 39.4
Minimum humidity 26 %
Days without rain 8
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Moyynkumskiy fire, September 2019
13,851 ha 8 days FWI 44.8 Min. humidity 23 % 213 km away, in 2019

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 1.9 mm on 29 Sept.

What happened to them

Fires in the area that started in similar weather: 3. With fewer than 15 we give no figures: they would be more noise than signal.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

4.0 mmfirst rain
13 Oct8 days after it ended
43km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 5 Oct, and on 13 Oct 4.0 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2017.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 26 Sept 2018
After · 12 Oct 2018

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 108Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Kordayskiy fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 3 October 2018 and 5 October 2018: 3 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,155 hectares (31.6 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Kordayskiy (3,175 ha, 0.4 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 21.7 °C, humidity dropped to 20 % and gusts hit 43 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 39, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Kazakhstan (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 108 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Open Data Commons Open Database License 1.0). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.