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UG · Uganda · –

Kilak fire, 21 January 2021 Kilak

Out · last detection 8 Feb 2021, 23:18 UTC

The fire started on 21 January 2021 in Kilak, Uganda, and satellites saw it burning for 19 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 1,280 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 572th largest in Northern Region since 2016 (of 1003 with a page). Number 91 in Uganda in 2021, of 141.

Compare with…
Burnt area
1,280ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
19days
21 Jan 2021 – 8 Feb 2021
Municipalities hit
1
counties
Started on
21 Jan
2021
Heat detections
48
in a single hotspot: 32 MW
Danger at start
33
High · FWI index
Average daily power
42MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 21 Jan8 Feb
8 Feb 2021

How it evolved, day by day

21 Jan 2021 · 9 MW · 1 22 Jan 2021 · 13 MW · 2 25 Jan 2021 · 20 MW · 2 28 Jan 2021 · 17 MW · 2 29 Jan 2021 · 307 MW · 22 30 Jan 2021 · 16 MW · 4 1 Feb 2021 · 15 MW · 2 2 Feb 2021 · 5 MW · 2 3 Feb 2021 · 20 MW · 3 6 Feb 2021 · 4 MW · 1 8 Feb 2021 · 33 MW · 7
21 Jan 29 Jan 6 Feb

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

37°high
45km/h · peak gust
14%lowest humidity

It had gone 19 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.5 mm on 17 Feb.

This area had burned before

54% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 50 ha in 2016, 638 ha in 2017.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 0.8% of the area of London (13 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Kilak where it started
    1,288 ha reached on 21 Jan
    0.3 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area2.5 ha
Residents≈ 350

Inside the perimeter there were about 2.5 hectares of built-up land and about 350 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
21 Jan 32.4 °C 26 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
22 Jan 32.0 °C 26 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
23 Jan 32.0 °C 33 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
24 Jan 33.1 °C 28 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
25 Jan 33.6 °C 23 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
26 Jan 33.7 °C 23 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
27 Jan 34.2 °C 20 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
28 Jan 34.6 °C 18 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
29 Jan 34.8 °C 20 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
30 Jan 34.3 °C 20 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
31 Jan 35.3 °C 16 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
1 Feb 34.9 °C 15 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
2 Feb 35.7 °C 14 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
3 Feb 34.8 °C 19 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
4 Feb 36.7 °C 15 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
5 Feb 33.4 °C 27 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
6 Feb 33.5 °C 16 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
7 Feb 31.9 °C 14 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
8 Feb 33.5 °C 14 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
9 Feb after 33.2 °C 23 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
10 Feb after 34.2 °C 25 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
11 Feb after 33.6 °C 27 % 30 km/h 0.2 mm Very high 39
12 Feb after 33.4 °C 28 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
13 Feb after 34.2 °C 20 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
14 Feb after 34.9 °C 25 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
15 Feb after 34.8 °C 23 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
16 Feb after 34.5 °C 24 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
17 Feb after 32.9 °C 35 % 32 km/h 1.5 mm High 23

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 33.0, a minimum humidity of 26% and 19 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 53.

FWI at the start 33.0
Minimum humidity 26 %
Days without rain 19
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Aruu fire, December 2017
1,414 ha 11 days FWI 32.4 Min. humidity 26 % 78 km away, in 2017

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

7 days
median duration
1,360 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
3.3 mm
rain at the end (median; 16 of 53 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (1,280 ha against a median of 1,360 ha) and lasted 19 days, against 7 days.

In 37 of 53, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.3 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.5 mmfirst rain
17 Feb9 days after it ended
45km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 8 Feb, and on 17 Feb 1.5 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 16 of 53, with a median of 3.3 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 14 Jan 2021
After · 15 Feb 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 48Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Uganda

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Kilak fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 21 January 2021 to 8 February 2021 (19 days). The perimeter dates it from 28 January 2021 to 2 February 2021.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 1,280 hectares (12.8 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Kilak (1,288 ha, 0.3 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 36.7 °C, humidity dropped to 14 % and gusts hit 45 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 51, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Uganda (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 53. Their median duration was 7 days and their median area 1,360 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In 37 of 53, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.3 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 999 · 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 2 February 2021 → 8 February 2021.
  2. Start date: 28 January 2021 → 21 January 2021.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 999 · 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 28 January 2021 to 2 February 2021. 48 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.