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ZM · Zambia · –

Kawambwa fire, 1 September 2016 Kawambwa

Out · last detection 21 Sept 2016, 10:55 UTC

The fire started on 1 September 2016 in Kawambwa, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 21 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 4,081 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 281th largest in Luapula since 2016 (of 447 with a page). Number 142 in Zambia in 2016, of 246.

Burnt area
4,081ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
21days
1 Sept 2016 – 21 Sept 2016
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
1 Sept
2016
Heat detections
194
in a single hotspot: 242 MW
Danger at start
41
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
297MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 1 Sept21 Sept
21 Sept 2016

How it evolved, day by day

1 Sept 2016 · 1 MW · 1 2 Sept 2016 · 88 MW · 9 6 Sept 2016 · 70 MW · 2 7 Sept 2016 · 522 MW · 7 8 Sept 2016 · 329 MW · 19 10 Sept 2016 · 726 MW · 43 11 Sept 2016 · 1,093 MW · 41 12 Sept 2016 · 157 MW · 16 13 Sept 2016 · 6 MW · 1 14 Sept 2016 · 980 MW · 36 16 Sept 2016 · 107 MW · 7 19 Sept 2016 · 1 MW · 1 20 Sept 2016 · 17 MW · 2 21 Sept 2016 · 56 MW · 9
1 Sept 7 Sept 11 Sept 14 Sept 20 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

33°high
47km/h · peak gust
14%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.6% of the area of London (41 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Kawambwa where it started
    4,111 ha reached on 1 Sept
    0.5 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2015
Built-up area0.14 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.14 hectares of built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2015, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 91 % of the area in Zambia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
1 Sept 28.8 °C 23 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
2 Sept 28.9 °C 21 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
3 Sept 30.3 °C 17 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
4 Sept 30.7 °C 19 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
5 Sept 31.5 °C 19 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
6 Sept 31.8 °C 19 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
7 Sept 31.9 °C 18 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
8 Sept 32.5 °C 20 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
9 Sept 32.0 °C 20 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
10 Sept 32.8 °C 14 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
11 Sept 32.6 °C 16 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
12 Sept 31.7 °C 17 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
13 Sept 32.7 °C 15 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
14 Sept 32.9 °C 16 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
15 Sept 32.6 °C 17 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
16 Sept 33.4 °C 18 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
17 Sept 32.7 °C 22 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
18 Sept 32.2 °C 29 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
19 Sept 32.8 °C 15 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
20 Sept 30.9 °C 17 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
21 Sept 31.5 °C 17 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
22 Sept after 32.3 °C 17 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
23 Sept after 33.2 °C 17 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
24 Sept after 33.3 °C 15 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
25 Sept after 33.6 °C 12 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
26 Sept after 33.0 °C 14 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
27 Sept after 32.5 °C 15 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
28 Sept after 33.4 °C 17 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
29 Sept after 32.9 °C 20 % 20 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
30 Sept after 33.7 °C 17 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
1 Oct after 33.5 °C 18 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 41.1, a minimum humidity of 23% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 81.

FWI at the start 41.1
Minimum humidity 23 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Kawambwa fire, August 2018
24,052 ha 27 days FWI 41.5 Min. humidity 23 % 15 km away, in 2018

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 6.1 mm on 10 Sept.

What happened to them

16 days
median duration
5,472 ha
median area
33 %
went past 10,000 ha
3.2 mm
rain at the end (median; 20 of 81 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (4,081 ha against a median of 5,472 ha) and lasted 21 days, against 16 days.

In 61 of 81, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.2 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
47km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 21 Sept, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 20 of 81, with a median of 3.2 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 25 Aug 2016
After · 28 Sept 2016

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 194Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Kawambwa fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 1 September 2016 to 21 September 2016 (21 days). The perimeter dates it from 8 September 2016 to 14 September 2016.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 4,081 hectares (40.8 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Kawambwa (4,111 ha, 0.5 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 33.4 °C, humidity dropped to 14 % and gusts hit 47 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 50, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 81. Their median duration was 16 days and their median area 5,472 ha; 33 % went past 10,000 ha. In 61 of 81, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.2 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 14 September 2016 → 21 September 2016.
  2. Start date: 8 September 2016 → 1 September 2016.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 8 September 2016 to 14 September 2016. 194 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2015, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.