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MW · Malawi · –

Kasungu fire, 17 September 2024 Kasungu

Out · last detection 19 Sept 2024, 11:44 UTC

The fire started on 17 September 2024 in Kasungu, Malawi, and satellites saw it burning for 3 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 1,331 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 81th largest in Central Region since 2016 (of 159 with a page). Number 20 in Malawi in 2024, of 39.

Burnt area
1,331ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
3days
17 Sept 2024 – 19 Sept 2024
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
17 Sept
2024
Heat detections
30
in a single hotspot: 55 MW
Danger at start
50
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
178MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 17 Sept19 Sept
19 Sept 2024

How it evolved, day by day

17 Sept 2024 · 112 MW · 8 18 Sept 2024 · 403 MW · 20 19 Sept 2024 · 21 MW · 2
17 Sept 18 Sept 19 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

32°high
46km/h · peak gust
21%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

6% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 84 ha in 2022.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 0.8% of the area of London (13 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Kasungu where it started
    1,338 ha reached on 17 Sept
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 15 % of the area in Malawi

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
17 Sept 31.4 °C 24 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
18 Sept 31.6 °C 21 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
19 Sept 32.3 °C 24 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
20 Sept after 32.3 °C 25 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
21 Sept after 31.2 °C 20 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
22 Sept after 29.5 °C 28 % 55 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
23 Sept after 27.4 °C 40 % 49 km/h 0.3 mm Very high 41
24 Sept after 26.3 °C 40 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
25 Sept after 30.2 °C 26 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
26 Sept after 32.4 °C 21 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
27 Sept after 32.9 °C 23 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
28 Sept after 32.8 °C 18 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
29 Sept after 32.6 °C 19 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 49.5, a minimum humidity of 24% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 20.

FWI at the start 49.5
Minimum humidity 24 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Kasungu fire, October 2020
1,111 ha 2 days FWI 49.4 Min. humidity 23 % 6 km away, in 2020

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 2.5 mm on 9 Oct.

What happened to them

6 days
median duration
1,578 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
3.6 mm
rain at the end (median; 5 of 20 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (1,331 ha against a median of 1,578 ha) and lasted 3 days, against 6 days.

In 15 of 20, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.6 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
46km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 19 Sept, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 5 of 20, with a median of 3.6 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 10 Sept 2024
After · 26 Sept 2024

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 15 September 2024 the air beside the fire reached 19 µg/m³ of PM2.5, but no daily average passed the WHO guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak19 µg/m³
Days over the guideline0 days
PM1027 µg/m³
Optical depth0.54
15 Sept17 Sept19 Sept21 Sept
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 30Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Malawi

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Kasungu fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 17 September 2024 and 19 September 2024: 3 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 1,331 hectares (13.3 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Kasungu (1,338 ha, 0.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 32.3 °C, humidity dropped to 21 % and gusts hit 46 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 50, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Malawi (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 20. Their median duration was 6 days and their median area 1,578 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In 15 of 20, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.6 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 30 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.