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ZM · Zambia · –

Kasama fire, 27 August 2016 Luwingu, Kasama

Out · last detection 24 Sept 2016, 11:39 UTC

The fire started on 27 August 2016 in Kasama, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 28 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 22,834 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 8th largest in Northern since 2016 (of 437 with a page). Number 13 in Zambia in 2016, of 246.

Burnt area
22,834ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
28days
27 Aug 2016 – 23 Sept 2016
Municipalities hit
2
districts
Started on
27 Aug
2016
Heat detections
1,062
in a single hotspot: 233 MW
Danger at start
53
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
633MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 27 Aug23 Sept
24 Sept 2016

How it evolved, day by day

27 Aug 2016 · 94 MW · 12 29 Aug 2016 · 338 MW · 42 30 Aug 2016 · 3,386 MW · 110 31 Aug 2016 · 1,515 MW · 99 1 Sept 2016 · 198 MW · 17 2 Sept 2016 · 251 MW · 27 3 Sept 2016 · 104 MW · 8 4 Sept 2016 · 613 MW · 22 5 Sept 2016 · 744 MW · 46 6 Sept 2016 · 470 MW · 37 7 Sept 2016 · 1,342 MW · 69 8 Sept 2016 · 917 MW · 46 9 Sept 2016 · 436 MW · 30 10 Sept 2016 · 657 MW · 49 11 Sept 2016 · 572 MW · 45 12 Sept 2016 · 565 MW · 90 13 Sept 2016 · 2,134 MW · 74 14 Sept 2016 · 1,249 MW · 94 15 Sept 2016 · 585 MW · 44 16 Sept 2016 · 630 MW · 39 17 Sept 2016 · 149 MW · 19 18 Sept 2016 · 4 MW · 1 19 Sept 2016 · 41 MW · 6 20 Sept 2016 · 427 MW · 17 21 Sept 2016 · 50 MW · 4 22 Sept 2016 · 65 MW · 8 23 Sept 2016 · 174 MW · 6 24 Sept 2016 · 9 MW · 1
30 Aug 9 Sept 15 Sept 21 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

34°high
47km/h · peak gust
16%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 14% of the area of London (228 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. 15,165 ha
    3.1 %
  2. Kasama where it started
    7,853 ha
    0.7 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 91 % of the area in Zambia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
27 Aug 28.3 °C 22 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
28 Aug 27.5 °C 25 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
29 Aug 28.2 °C 23 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
30 Aug 28.5 °C 22 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
31 Aug 28.6 °C 22 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
1 Sept 28.2 °C 26 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
2 Sept 27.9 °C 25 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
3 Sept 28.1 °C 24 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
4 Sept 29.7 °C 25 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
5 Sept 30.6 °C 22 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
6 Sept 30.6 °C 22 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
7 Sept 31.2 °C 22 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
8 Sept 32.1 °C 25 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
9 Sept 31.3 °C 22 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
10 Sept 32.1 °C 17 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
11 Sept 31.1 °C 21 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
12 Sept 30.9 °C 17 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
13 Sept 31.5 °C 17 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
14 Sept 31.8 °C 20 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
15 Sept 32.3 °C 20 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
16 Sept 32.5 °C 21 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
17 Sept 33.3 °C 20 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
18 Sept 33.8 °C 20 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
19 Sept 31.9 °C 16 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
20 Sept 30.0 °C 22 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65
21 Sept 30.6 °C 21 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
22 Sept 31.2 °C 19 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
23 Sept 32.2 °C 21 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
24 Sept after 32.7 °C 17 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
25 Sept after 32.8 °C 16 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
26 Sept after 32.4 °C 17 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
27 Sept after 32.2 °C 17 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
28 Sept after 32.8 °C 19 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
29 Sept after 32.8 °C 20 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
30 Sept after 33.0 °C 20 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
1 Oct after 32.7 °C 20 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
2 Oct after 34.3 °C 14 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
3 Oct after 33.6 °C 19 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 52.6, a minimum humidity of 22% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 33.

FWI at the start 52.6
Minimum humidity 22 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Lunte fire, September 2020
4,307 ha 13 days FWI 52.6 Min. humidity 22 % 125 km away, in 2020

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 2.6 mm on 9 Oct.

What happened to them

12 days
median duration
4,224 ha
median area
12 %
went past 10,000 ha
4.6 mm
rain at the end (median; 8 of 33 had it)

It was 5.4 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 28 days, against 12 days.

Only 1 of its 33 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 25 of 33, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 4.6 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
47km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 23 Sept, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 8 of 33, with a median of 4.6 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 20 Aug 2016
After · 30 Sept 2016

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 1,062Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Kasama fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 27 August 2016 to 23 September 2016 (28 days). The perimeter dates it from 27 August 2016 to 16 September 2016.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 22,834 hectares (228.3 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Luwingu (15,165 ha, 3.1 %); Kasama (7,853 ha, 0.7 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 33.8 °C, humidity dropped to 16 % and gusts hit 47 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 65, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 33. Their median duration was 12 days and their median area 4,224 ha; 12 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 1 of its 33 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 25 of 33, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 4.6 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 16 September 2016 → 23 September 2016.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery; 4 polygons grouped in this page.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 27 August 2016 to 16 September 2016. 1,062 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.