Skip to content
worldfires
ZM · Zambia · –

Kanchibiya fire, 24 August 2019 Kanchibiya, Mpika

Out · last detection 14 Sept 2019, 10:55 UTC

The fire started on 24 August 2019 in Kanchibiya, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 22 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 8,432 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 88th largest in Muchinga since 2016 (of 386 with a page). Number 51 in Zambia in 2019, of 243.

Burnt area
8,432ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
22days
24 Aug 2019 – 14 Sept 2019
Municipalities hit
2
districts
Started on
24 Aug
2019
Heat detections
316
in a single hotspot: 83 MW
Danger at start
44
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
226MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 24 Aug14 Sept
14 Sept 2019

How it evolved, day by day

24 Aug 2019 · 100 MW · 5 25 Aug 2019 · 3 MW · 1 27 Aug 2019 · 334 MW · 24 28 Aug 2019 · 38 MW · 4 29 Aug 2019 · 24 MW · 3 30 Aug 2019 · 233 MW · 15 1 Sept 2019 · 969 MW · 43 2 Sept 2019 · 135 MW · 25 3 Sept 2019 · 33 MW · 6 4 Sept 2019 · 444 MW · 32 5 Sept 2019 · 306 MW · 48 6 Sept 2019 · 742 MW · 55 7 Sept 2019 · 390 MW · 40 9 Sept 2019 · 8 MW · 3 11 Sept 2019 · 49 MW · 6 12 Sept 2019 · 18 MW · 4 14 Sept 2019 · 15 MW · 2
24 Aug 1 Sept 7 Sept 14 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

32°high
56km/h · peak gust
13%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

48% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 3,091 ha in 2016, 2,339 ha in 2017, 17 ha in 2018. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 4,080 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 5.3% of the area of London (84 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Kanchibiya where it started
    8,203 ha reached on 24 Aug
    0.9 %
  2. 273 ha reached on 27 Aug
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area7.7 ha
Residents≈ 1,200

Inside the perimeter there were about 7.7 hectares of built-up land and about 1,200 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 91 % of the area in Zambia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
24 Aug 26.5 °C 29 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
25 Aug 27.7 °C 33 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
26 Aug 29.3 °C 25 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
27 Aug 29.5 °C 25 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
28 Aug 30.2 °C 16 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
29 Aug 30.2 °C 14 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
30 Aug 29.7 °C 18 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
31 Aug 31.1 °C 18 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
1 Sept 32.1 °C 13 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 67
2 Sept 30.3 °C 22 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 69
3 Sept 28.2 °C 29 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
4 Sept 27.8 °C 27 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
5 Sept 30.0 °C 23 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
6 Sept 28.7 °C 25 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
7 Sept 24.8 °C 23 % 56 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 69
8 Sept 21.8 °C 33 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
9 Sept 26.3 °C 29 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
10 Sept 26.9 °C 29 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
11 Sept 29.2 °C 25 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
12 Sept 30.9 °C 24 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
13 Sept 31.7 °C 22 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
14 Sept 32.0 °C 19 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
15 Sept after 31.2 °C 21 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
16 Sept after 29.7 °C 27 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
17 Sept after 29.2 °C 28 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
18 Sept after 29.7 °C 22 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
19 Sept after 29.7 °C 19 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
20 Sept after 29.6 °C 23 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
21 Sept after 30.8 °C 21 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
22 Sept after 31.5 °C 20 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
23 Sept after 33.2 °C 20 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
24 Sept after 31.2 °C 18 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 44.4, a minimum humidity of 29% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 17.

FWI at the start 44.4
Minimum humidity 29 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Mpika fire, August 2021
17,611 ha 22 days FWI 45.4 Min. humidity 28 % 31 km away, in 2021

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

15 days
median duration
4,022 ha
median area
18 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.0 mm
rain at the end (median; 2 of 17 had it)

It was 2.1 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 22 days, against 15 days.

Only 3 of its 17 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 15 of 17, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.0 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
56km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 14 Sept, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 2 of 17, with a median of 2.0 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 17 Aug 2019
After · 21 Sept 2019

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 316Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Kanchibiya fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 24 August 2019 to 14 September 2019 (22 days). The perimeter dates it from 30 August 2019 to 10 September 2019.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 8,432 hectares (84.3 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Kanchibiya (8,203 ha, 0.9 %); Mpika (273 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 32.1 °C, humidity dropped to 13 % and gusts hit 56 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 69, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 17. Their median duration was 15 days and their median area 4,022 ha; 18 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 3 of its 17 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 15 of 17, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.0 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 10 September 2019 → 14 September 2019.
  2. Start date: 30 August 2019 → 24 August 2019.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 30 August 2019 to 10 September 2019. 316 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.